2025 NFL Season

Draft Kit
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Fantasy Football Draft Advice

Sup dude? This week I combed through 1316 shitty fantasy football articles and videos so you dont have to and pulled out 9019 pieces of bullshit advice. We're covering 518 players & teams here. You can thank me later... maybe consider buying me a beer?

Last updated 3 months ago (8/29/2025 11:27 AM PT).

Position
QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
Draft Priority
Must Have
High
Medium
Low
Ignore

Josh Downs

Draft Priority High4

Draft in the late rounds. He had strong receiving numbers last year and could help if Daniel Jones stays the starter and he stays healthy, but a minor hamstring issue and competition from Michael Pittman and a rookie tight end mean I’m not super confident. Want 26 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 45% in 26 sources updated 3 months ago

High-upside late-round target; ADP sits around WR47–WR49 (rounds 8–11 / post-100 overall) making him a strong value pick for drafts as a potential PPR WR3 if QB play stabilizes. He posted elite target and route-efficiency metrics in 2024 and stands to gain from Daniel Jones being named starter, but bears downside risk from a minor hamstring issue, Michael Pittman/rookie TE competition, and lingering QB uncertainty.

08/29 High (100%) Listed as a top late-round pass-catching target — represents high upside value in late rounds; cheap draft cost with potential target share growth and breakout upside as a rookie/early-career receiver.
08/28 High (100%) Strong 2024 target share (107 targets) and could benefit from Daniel Jones being named starter; top-30 upside with low ADP — recommended buy in this range, could rise by Labor Day.
08/26 Medium Round 10 top target — high slot target volume and Colts’ offense could boost value under new QB; injury history and addition of Tyler Warren reduce floor, so draft as high-upside backup.
08/26 Medium (74%) Selected in Round 8 with the note he should benefit from Daniel Jones as the starting QB — presents upside as a mid-round receiver pick in deeper formats.
08/23 Low (100%) Listed as a later-round dart throw — represents low-cost upside/injury lottery ticket late in drafts rather than reliable starter.
08/23 Medium (100%) Reliable slot receiver with a fairly safe PPR floor if healthy. Hamstring injury is a concern in preseason, but assuming availability he profiles as a WR4 with steady target volume.
08/22 Medium (100%) Daniel Jones winning the Colts’ QB job raises Downs’ upside as a complementary pass-catcher — good mid/ to late-round upside depending on draft cost.
08/22 High (100%) ADP in 11th round (WR48) but quarterback change to Daniel Jones significantly improves his outlook. Historically high route-target rates (27.9% of routes) and strong production with a competent QB (with Flacco he averaged 7.0 receptions, 64.9 yards). Likely to see large target volume and has legitimate WR2 upside if chemistry with Jones develops early.
08/19 High (100%) Daniel Jones being named the Colts' starting QB should increase passing volume and efficiency, which benefits Downs' target share and fantasy upside entering the season. This preseason change raises his draft value as a high-upside WR target for draft prep.
08/19 Medium (100%) Described as the Colts' likely stiffest competitor to Warren for target volume; reliable slot receiver who thrives in short-to-intermediate areas. He could cap Warren's ceiling but also stands to benefit in PPR formats; recent hamstring injury (mentioned) could temporarily boost Warren's target share.
08/19 Low (100%) Bench flier who performed well only with competent QB play — Colts’ QB situation is shaky, making him a risky upside dart in late rounds.
08/19 Medium (100%) Profile fits classic third-year breakout: excellent target metrics (30% TPRR, 2.28 YPRR) indicating high efficiency when on the field. However, uncertainty from Colts' QB situation (Daniel Jones), competition from rookie TE Tyler Warren and Michael Pittman Jr. makes him a reasonable affordable gamble at current ADP.
08/19 High Hamstring pull looks like a grade-1; not expected to be serious. Downs is already a late-round pick (targeted around rounds 8–10) and the analyst is still comfortable drafting him at that range given his upside and role in the Colts offense.
08/19 High (100%) High target share and route efficiency (23.9% target share, 30% targets per route; elite success rates vs coverage types). As a WR4 at ADP WR49, he offers strong floor and upside, especially if QB situation stabilizes under Anthony Richardson or Joe Flacco involvement boosts targets.
08/15 Medium (100%) Became Colts’ top receiving option when healthy with strong underlying metrics (85.1 receiving grade, 2.20 YPRR) — presents value in drafts if you buy health and continued usage.
08/15 Medium (100%) Noted as a reliable, under-the-radar asset ($3 in mock) — good value pick as a bench or low-cost WR3 candidate with consistent production.
08/14 Medium Under-the-radar target with pass-catching profile and efficiency analytics appeal; upside if QB play stabilizes.
08/12 Medium (100%) Slot specialist who separates and can rack up PPR volume; was heavily targeted by Joe Flacco last year. Upside grows if Daniel Jones starts (historically targets slot). Risk if Colts are run-heavy or stick with Anthony Richardson.
08/11 Medium (100%) Josh Downs emerged as the Colts’ top receiving threat last season with an impressive target rate and receiving grade. However, due to question marks at quarterback, his ADP still reflects caution, making him a medium-risk, high-reward pick outside the top 100.
08/11 Medium (100%) Josh Downs is highlighted as undervalued and valuable due to sound metrics like Open Rate, making him a smart middle-round target.
08/09 Medium Josh Downs is positioned in a range with potential upside but is not highlighted as a top priority in this analysis.
08/09 High (45%) Josh Downs averaged 7.6 targets per game in 2024, ranking top-25 among wide receivers. He had significant unrealized air yards, and with even average quarterback play, he should be a PPR machine. He's a steal after pick 110.
08/07 High (100%) Josh Downs had a solid performance last year, finishing as WR39 and WR28 in fantasy points per game, even with unstable quarterback play in Indianapolis. His current ADP is WR47, making him undervalued based on his previous output.
08/05 High Josh Downs is entering a second season with high integration into the Colts' offense. Showed great target share last year, outperforming Michael Pittman when both were on the field. Expected to thrive with Daniel Jones at QB and Indy potentially shifting focus to slot receivers.
08/01 High (100%) Downs has significant upside if targeted consistently, as shown in games with Joe Flacco last year. His potential top-20 finish if utilized properly makes him a strong target outside the top-100 picks.
08/01 Medium (56%) Downs is a dynamic separator across all levels, needing a better offensive environment to fully realize his potential.

Cameron Dicker

Draft Priority High5

Pick him in the final rounds — he gets a lot of field-goal chances with the Chargers and is accurate, so he should score steady points. The main risk is if the team starts getting more touchdowns or the game flow changes. Want 3 more details?

DEF

Pittsburgh Steelers

Draft Priority High5

Draft the Pittsburgh Steelers defense in the mid-to-late rounds — they finished fourth in points last year and have some easy early matchups, so they can give you big weeks. Just be careful: preseason injuries and the fact that defensive scores swing a lot make them a bit risky. Want 4 more details?

Travis Kelce

Draft Priority Must Have3

Draft him in the middle rounds. He should keep getting a lot of catches and looks near the goal with Mahomes, but he's getting older and might score fewer touchdowns. Want 57 more details?

Unclear consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 27% in 57 sources updated 3 months ago

Must-have — Kelce supplies an unmatched positional advantage as Patrick Mahomes' primary short-area and red-zone target, justifying a mid-round investment. With ADP ~62 (mid-to-late sixth round), target Kelce in Rounds 6–8 for a clear TE edge; downside risk is age-related efficiency decline and touchdown regression while upside is sustained target volume and early-season boost (Rice suspension).

08/28 Low Turning 36 in-season and showed signs of decline last year. Analyst warns against buying Kelce at his usual premium; other tight end options may offer better value in drafts given Kelce's age and fading production.
08/28 High (100%) Still startable and provides top-tier production, but Chiefs' offense shifting to more downfield shots and Rashee Rice taking targets could lower Kelce's short-area target share. Only draft at the right value — target around Rounds 7–8.
08/28 Must Have (100%) Featured on the “Do Draft” list as undervalued and discussed as elite TE — positional scarcity makes him a must-target.
08/27 Must Have (100%) Rashee Rice is suspended for the first six weeks, which the analysis says boosts Kelce’s fantasy outlook due to a larger share of Chiefs targets and red-zone work. As the top-tier, high-volume tight end, Kelce remains an essential draft target — especially in TE-premium or PPR formats.
08/27 Medium (100%) Article notes Kelce 'has lost a step' which may reduce ceiling relative to past seasons. Still a top TE but declining athleticism and possible target regression make him less of an unquestioned must-have at his ADP.
08/27 High (100%) Called out on the 'Do Draft' list as being undervalued — suggests Kelce is a buy if you can get him below expected value (high floor/legacy production).
08/26 Medium Tier 2; still high-volume but likely scaled back usage to stay healthy and more weapons on KC roster — draft if value presents, but temper expectations vs. past production.
08/23 Must Have (100%) Listed on Schefter’s 'Do Draft' as undervalued; despite age, Kelce remains a top fantasy TE and should be prioritized if discounted.
08/22 Must Have (100%) Listed in top tiers as an elite tight end option; the guide says strike early for top-flight TEs and Kelce is a top target in early rounds.
08/22 Low Name value inflates ADP (TE5, sixth round) despite declining trends: age (turning 36), three-year decline in production, and expected return of healthy WR corps in Kansas City (reducing Kelce’s unique target share). Overpaying at ADP is not ideal when viable TE options likely fall later.
08/22 Medium (100%) Still a high-quality starter but Chiefs' shift to more downfield emphasis and Rashee Rice's presence cut into Kelce's short-area targets; must be drafted at right value (Round 7–8 suggested).
08/19 Medium (100%) ADP 62.4, veteran and still productive but author doesn’t love the ADP — avoid reaching; can be rostered if value falls later.
08/19 High (100%) Listed among undervalued players in preseason analysis — elite and proven TE1 production with potential draft value if overlooked; prioritize Kelce if he falls below typical early-round TE ADP.
08/19 High (74%) Tier 3 placement keeps him among the better TE options (preseason ranking-based).
08/19 Low (100%) Seasoned veteran posted career-low receiving yards, touchdowns and yards per reception last year; age (36) and decreased Fantasy PPG suggest possible decline. Kansas City's WR room is more crowded this year, and alternative TEs (Brock Bowers, George Kittle) are highly ranked — Kelce is a risky early-round TE pick and should be avoided as a priority target in drafts.
08/19 High (100%) Mentioned alongside other elite TEs as a mid-draft option; viable to draft early if you want TE advantage or wait for value later.
08/19 Medium (100%) Still a reliable mid- to low-end TE1 but aging (turning 36) and coming off career-low production; recalibrate expectations and don’t expect difference-making upside.
08/17 Medium (100%) Former perennial TE1 but declining production in recent seasons; age 35 and increased passing targets/diverse pass catchers in KC could limit ceiling. Still talented and could rebound if Mahomes has an elite passing season, but downside risk makes him a situational target depending on ADP.
08/16 Low Still an elite weekly producer but age and touchdown reliance limit dynasty runway — rebuilders should trade while contenders will pay a premium for a likely final high-impact season.
08/16 High (100%) Listed among top TEs in the rankings (around #49 overall) and still offers elite weekly upside; in TEP formats Kelce-like production is premium — prioritize but weigh age/injury risk.
08/14 Medium (100%) Big-name TE but the piece warns against overpaying for mid-round big-name TEs; Kelce is being drafted far ahead of value picks like Kraft.
08/14 Must Have (100%) Author regretted missing Kelce at a very low auction price ($7); as an elite, positional-winner TE, Kelce should be targeted when available (especially if price is reasonable).
08/13 Must Have (100%) Elite positional advantage at TE despite the odd placement in the combined list; Kelce remains a first-round-caliber TE in PPR leagues for consistent target share and red-zone usage.
08/13 High (100%) Tier 3 mid/low-end TE1 but still a reliable weekly starter. Not elite in tiers here, but draftable as a strong TE option if available later than Tier 1-2 picks.
08/13 Low 2024 volume was skewed by teammate injuries; with healthy WR corps his usage should decline, he is aging (36) and showing multi-year decline. Avoid drafting Kelce expecting 2024-like discount value.
08/13 Must Have (100%) Named among undervalued players on the 'Do Draft' list — elite, consistent TE production that makes him effectively a must-have in most formats even if ADP is softer.
08/12 High (100%) Appears on the 'Do Draft' undervalued list; still offers elite positional edge if discounted due to age concerns.
08/11 High (100%) Travis Kelce, while not in the top tier for 2025, is still a solid pick due to his proven track record of high production and integral role in the offense.
08/11 Must Have Travis Kelce remains the top tight end option with his consistent high-volume role in Kansas City's offense. His ability to provide wide receiver-like production at the tight end position gives him an edge over others.
08/10 Medium Former top-tier performer now competing with younger tight ends; draft as a fallback later if other premium tight ends are off the board and full reliance on his aging play may be risky.
08/09 Must Have Kelce is consistently one of the top performers in the tight end position and is being undervalued in drafts, making him a priority pick.
08/09 Low Kelce's diminished performance metrics last season and the expected healthy return of key WRs make paying his Round 5 draft capital risky.
08/09 High (100%) Even in a perceived 'final season', Kelce's consistent production and the Chiefs' likely increase in passing volume make him a valuable pick. His proven track record and potential for more receiving yards reinforce his status.
08/09 Must Have (100%) Similar to Mahomes, Kelce has a strong bounce-back potential when considered as a stack with Mahomes, making this a strong draft strategy.
08/09 Must Have (100%) Despite slightly declining production, Kelce has remained a top-five fantasy tight end for multiple years, making him a must-have in drafts.
08/09 Must Have Travis Kelce is the premier tight end in fantasy football, offering unmatched production at a scarce position. Drafting him early can set you apart, given his consistent connection with quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
08/06 Must Have As an elite tight end, Travis Kelce offers significant positional advantage and remains Patrick Mahomes' favorite target.
08/06 High Travis Kelce consistently finishes as the top tight end, being a primary target for Patrick Mahomes in a high-powered offense.
08/06 Must Have Concerns about how much Kelce has left in the tank are overshadowed by his consistent elite TE production.
08/06 High (100%) Debate on whether Travis Kelce is washed, indicating mixed opinions but potential upside given his history of strong performance with the Chiefs.
08/06 High Travis Kelce's role with the Kansas City Chiefs remains a strong fantasy option, although there are questions about how much he has left in the tank.
08/06 Medium Kelce's red zone efficiency dropped in 2024, but his role remains unchanged. A slight improvement in touchdown conversion could make him a startable option once again, though he's less exciting than in past seasons.
08/06 High Although he had a down year, Travis Kelce's value is greatly increased with a lower ADP (drafted in the sixth/seventh round). He still has top-5 TE potential and is paired with Patrick Mahomes, enhancing his appeal as a high-value pick.
08/06 High (100%) Travis Kelce offers positional advantage at tight end that's hard to replicate, consistently finishing among the top at his position with a solid QB connection.
08/05 Must Have Travis Kelce's value increases as an underneath target with Rashi Rice out, making him a highly valuable tight end in drafts.
08/05 Must Have (100%) Kelce offers a significant positional advantage at tight end, often outscoring other players at his position by a wide margin. His chemistry with QB Patrick Mahomes makes him a key target in the passing game.
08/05 Medium Potential to outperform his ADP significantly if he maintains health. Age and potential decline are considerations but high risk/reward ratio given the position importance.
08/05 Must Have Travis Kelce is a must-have for those looking to secure the top tight end in the league, offering consistent production well above his peers and contributing significantly to roster success.
08/05 Medium (83%) Travis Kelce's draft stock has fallen, with an ADP now at 62.0. He's considered more of a fifth or sixth round selection and shouldn't be overdrafted among top picks.
08/05 Must Have Travis Kelce continues to dominate at the tight end position with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, providing unmatched production levels that make him more valuable than some wide receivers and running backs.
08/05 High Though efficiency declined last year, Rice's suspension may increase Kelsey's early-season volume. However, there's concern about his role diminishing once full KC offense is healthy. Consider drafting for early season production with awareness of potential late season drop-off.
08/04 High Despite his worst season since 2014, Kelce finished as the TE6 in fantasy points per game. He consistently receives high volume, and while his top tier ceiling might be gone, he provides top three upside as an excellent value in drafts.
08/01 High (71%) Despite age and slight decline in YPC, Kelce's consistent target volume and role in Kansas City's offense make him a solid option at ADP in the mid-60s.
08/01 Must Have Over the past three seasons, Travis Kelce has run more routes, seen more targets, and caught more passes inside the red zone than any other TE, highlighting his consistency in scoring areas.
08/01 High (54%) If Rice is suspended, Kelce is projected to start the year with a top-five weekly fantasy projection. His value might decline midseason but is still solid early.
08/01 Must Have Despite being ranked 92nd, Kelce remains a must-have due to his unrivaled production at the tight end position, continually serving as a focal point in Kansas City's offense.
08/01 Medium Even as his efficiency cratered in his old age, he still finished 2024 as the TE6 overall. If he does take another step back, there won't be much of a difference between him and guys drafted 50 picks later.

Lamar Jackson

Draft Priority High3

Draft him early in leagues where you start two quarterbacks; in leagues with one quarterback, take him in the early-to-middle rounds if you want a QB who runs a lot. He gives a solid floor from rushing but might throw for fewer touchdowns than last year and has some injury risk, so don't pay too much if it means passing on a strong running back or wide receiver. Want 75 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 38% in 75 sources updated 3 months ago

High draft priority: elite dual-threat QB who should be targeted early in Superflex/2‑QB formats and considered an early‑middle round (Round 2–3) target in one‑QB drafts — consensus ADP signals cluster in late R2/early R3 (~ADP 16–21). His 2024 rushing floor (915 rush yds) and top fantasy ceiling justify paying up, but planners must weigh regression risk in passing TDs and minor injury/volatility concerns when prioritizing him over scarce RB/WR value.

08/29 Must Have (100%) Included in the article's 'top tier' QBs (alongside Allen, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts) — recommended as an elite QB worth early consideration if available.
08/29 Must Have (100%) Ranked QB1 by the SportsLine model due to elite dual-threat rushing (915 rushing yards) and career highs in passing. High weekly ceiling and consistent top-tier Fantasy scoring when healthy.
08/29 Must Have (100%) Ravens' offensive line features Ronnie Stanley and Tyler Linderbaum to 'keep up the mojo for Lamar Jackson', suggesting strong protection and rushing upside — premium fantasy QB.
08/28 Must Have (19%) Listed as one of the 'Elite Five' QBs to lock in — high upside and top-tier weekly scoring. Author recommends grabbing elite QBs rather than middling options.
08/28 Medium (60%) Matthew Berry notes he doesn’t have "a ton" of Lamar Jackson shares this year, signaling reduced conviction from analysts. That suggests Jackson is a risk/reward pick — big upside when healthy but volatility and injury history/uncertainty make him a less reliable early-round target.
08/28 Must Have Same guidance as other Tier 1 QBs — first-round priority in Super Flex but not in 1QB formats; adjust draft strategy by format.
08/28 High (100%) Ranked QB1 by SportsLine model due to elite rushing upside (915 rushing yards last season) and strong passing volume; stable offense with DeAndre Hopkins addition. High weekly ceiling in fantasy formats.
08/27 High (100%) Model ranks him QB1 coming off season with 915 rushing yards and career-best passing; stable Ravens offense and addition of DeAndre Hopkins keep rushing and passing upside high for fantasy QB production.
08/27 Must Have (100%) Also named a top-tier QB — suggested it's fine to take him early for his high fantasy ceiling and rushing production.
08/27 High (100%) Listed by Justin Boone as a QB worth targeting in Round 3 — fits the ‘take a high-upside QB in early-middle rounds’ approach if you want weekly scoring advantage from QB.
08/27 High (100%) One of the top fantasy QBs (behind only Josh Allen in RotoBaller ranking). Dual-threat with elite rushing and passing production (4,172 yards, 41 TDs, 915 rush yards). Likely worth paying up for, but may cost an early-round pick.
08/26 High Taken earlier than typical QBs by a mock drafter who preferred locking elite QB upside over uncertain WR/RB targets — draft as a high-priority QB if you value rushing floor and elite ceiling, even if it costs you a mid-round pick.
08/26 High Tier 1 — elite rushing volume (near-1000 rush yards) gives a safe high-floor QB1 even if passing fluctuates.
08/26 Must Have Top-ranked QB in the article and a proven dual-threat with elite rushing upside (915 rush yds in referenced season) plus improved passing yards/TDs; stable Ravens offense and addition of DeAndre Hopkins increases receiving weapons. High weekly ceiling and reliable top-tier production for fantasy drafts.
08/23 Must Have (100%) Listed as an elite fantasy quarterback with exceptional rushing upside; Schefter calls him one of the best passers and notes his running ability makes him one of the best fantasy QBs ever.
08/23 High (100%) Listed as SportsLine's No. 1 QB — elite dual-threat production in 2024 (4,172 pass yards, 41 TDs; 915 rushing yards) giving a very high fantasy ceiling and consistent top-QB upside.
08/23 High (100%) Grouped with Josh Allen as an elite QB the author wants to prioritize in early rounds if possible due to rushing scoring floor.
08/22 High (100%) Foot injury reported but X-rays negative and coach called it a ‘big relief’ — Jackson is still projected as a top fantasy QB and should be drafted as such rather than downgraded because of a minor preseason foot issue.
08/22 Must Have (100%) Ranked No. 1 in RotoBaller's updated 2025 Superflex/2-QB rankings — top-tier fantasy QB value. Noted minor foot injury in recent news, but still the clear QB1 in these rankings; in superflex formats elite QBs carry first-round value.
08/22 Must Have (100%) Two-time MVP coming off an elite season as a dual-threat (4,172 pass yards, 41 TDs, 915 rush yards). Cleared an X-ray after a training-camp foot scare and expected to be fine for Week 1 — projects as an elite fantasy QB and should be prioritized early in drafts.
08/22 High (55%) Consensus top fantasy QB due to dual-threat upside and new addition DeAndre Hopkins to help the passing game; one of the safest elite QB targets.
08/22 Must Have Ranked No. 1 QB by the SportsLine model — elite dual-threat production (4,172 pass yards, 41 TDs, 915 rush yards in 2024) and finished far ahead of other QBs in fantasy scoring. High ceiling and consistent top-tier fantasy QB value.
08/22 Must Have (100%) Top rushing QB with upgraded downfield passing under Todd Monken; provides elite rushing fantasy production and strong upside.
08/22 High Called possibly 'the best fantasy quarterback maybe ever' due to rushing upside — a high-ceiling QB worth taking in earlier QB tiers if you want stable rushing production.
08/19 Low (100%) Top-ranked QB but ADP (~16.2) is too expensive in one-QB drafts; analyst calls him 'Worst Value' at that cost and prefers drafting RB/WR in Round 2 instead of paying for a QB that early.
08/19 High SportsLine calls Jackson a safe bet and explicitly notes he should be drafted in the 2nd–3rd round due to high rushing and passing upside; strong floor for fantasy managers.
08/19 High (100%) Dominant 2024 season with elite rushing floor and career-best passing numbers. Provides massive upside but some regression risk in passing TDs (41 TDs in 2024 unlikely to repeat). Still a player you'd be thrilled to draft at the top of QB tier.
08/19 Must Have (100%) Ravens are listed in the 'Circle of Trust' and Jackson delivered the highest-scoring fantasy season ever; elite dual-threat QB with extremely high upside in this offense.
08/19 High (100%) Two-time MVP with ~4,200 pass yards and 915 rushing yards last season; described as a safe QB1 and noted as likely drafted in R2-R3 — strong early-round target for fantasy QB value.
08/19 High (100%) Included in the elite QB tier that will likely go early; solid dual-threat floor makes him worth an early premium if you target QB early.
08/17 Must Have Ranked at the top of RotoBaller's 2025 Superflex/2QB rankings — elite rushing and passing upside in superflex formats makes him a top-tier QB target in early rounds.
08/17 High (100%) Ranked as the No. 1 fantasy QB by SportsLine: led league in rushing (915 yards) and was top in fantasy points per game due to rushing + improved passing. High weekly ceiling from rushing upside and passing improvement.
08/17 Must Have (100%) Ranked No. 1 by the SportsLine model due to elite rushing production (915 rushing yards in 2024) and improved passing; provides top-level weekly upside and QB rushing floor that boosts fantasy consistency.
08/16 High Similar to Josh Allen—can be targeted in the third round if available; worthwhile early-QB if you accept delaying other one-start positions.
08/16 Must Have (100%) Top-ranked QB in SportsLine's model after a career-best 2024 (4,172 pass yards, 41 pass TDs) plus elite rushing (915 yards) — provides the highest ceiling and strong weekly floor due to rushing upside.
08/16 High (58%) One of four dual-threat QBs the author recommends targeting in Round 4 for rushing floor and top QB upside.
08/15 Must Have (100%) Top-ranked QB in the preseason model after career-best 2024 season (4,172 passing yards, 41 TDs) plus 915 rushing yards; elite rushing upside makes him the clear QB1 target in drafts.
08/15 Low Mentioned on the 'Do Not Draft' list in preseason chatter — flagged as a risky pick in some pundit lists; approach with caution relative to ADP.
08/15 Low (100%) Flagged as overpriced in auctions — projected $29-32 — with added injury risk; advised against spending a large share of budget on elite QBs when cheaper value options exist.
08/15 High Recommended as a strong early QB target for guillotine/gauntlet formats and superflex drafts — provides a steady weekly scoring base and high floor; analysts explicitly preferred Lamar over Allen for certain picks and cited his weekly point-producing reliability.
08/14 Low (100%) Ranking and ADP imply he's being overdrafted (ADP ~21) as a third-round QB despite scoring volatility; opportunity cost is a high-end WR2. Safer QB value exists a round+ later (Hurts, Jayden Daniels).
08/14 Must Have (100%) Posted career-best passing (4,172 yards, 41 TDs) and elite rushing (915 yards) in 2024; finished as top fantasy QB and offers unique dual-threat upside and consistency.
08/14 High (100%) Listed in Tier 1B — still top-tier but the article marks a slight drop-off after Tier 1A; strong rushing upside makes him a high-priority pick in early-mid rounds.
08/13 Must Have (100%) High ceiling and consistency driven by rushing upside; delivered career highs in passing while remaining a significant rushing threat.
08/13 Must Have (100%) Article lists Lamar Jackson as one of the two most valuable fantasy quarterbacks (Week 7 bye). He offers elite weekly ceiling — draft as an early/high priority QB — but beware the Week 7 bye and avoid stacking multiple high-end players who share that bye.
08/12 High (100%) Model’s QB1 after a career year (4,172 pass yards, 41 pass TD, 915 rush yards) and finished 50+ points ahead of the next QB in CBS PPR in 2024. Dual-threat dominance makes him a premium fantasy QB.
08/12 Low (74%) Round 2 ADP is too early for a QB in 1QB formats per the author. Not one of the two top-five QBs he’d draft at cost; prefer if he falls to Round 3+.
08/12 Medium Elite week-winning ceiling, but cost is steep. Only pull trigger if he falls to late-3rd; otherwise prioritize RB/WR depth and wait at QB.
08/12 High (100%) Konami-code QB with weekly top-5 upside in an explosive Ravens offense; ideal QB to anchor early WR/TE builds.
08/11 Must Have Lamar Jackson is part of the Tier 1 quarterbacks due to his rushing stats, providing significant weekly upside and a strong QB1 option in fantasy drafts.
08/11 Must Have Coming off his second straight All-Pro selection and nearly winning the NFL MVP, Lamar Jackson has erased any doubts about his passing, following a career-high 4,172 passing yards and 41 passing touchdowns.
08/10 Must Have (100%) Jackson is coming off consecutive All-Pro selections and finished second in MVP voting, showcasing his elite dual-threat ability. He has posted career-best passing numbers recently.
08/09 High Jackson is coming off two consecutive first-team All-Pro selections, with more than 3,600 passing yards and 41 passing touchdowns last season. He combines elite passing with rushing ability, making him a top-tier QB pick.
08/09 High (100%) With his rushing ability, Lamar Jackson offers a potential weekly advantage at the quarterback position and is worth considering in the earlier rounds.
08/07 High Ranked second among quarterbacks, Lamar's rushing upside makes him a valuable asset. His potential to lead quarterback points is high, especially in systems valuing rushing QBs.
08/07 Must Have Lamar Jackson was the No. 1 QB in Fantasy last year with career-high statistics and minimal interceptions. His dual-threat ability as both a passer and runner makes him a top QB option again for 2025.
08/07 Must Have (71%) Although Jackson probably just had what will stand as the best season of his career, he’s reached total command of the game. Baltimore's loaded offense and shrewd schemes under OC Todd Monken provide confidence in continued top-tier production.
08/06 Must Have Jackson was the top fantasy quarterback last year with 4,172 passing yards, 41 touchdowns, 915 rushing yards, and his dual-threat capability makes him the premier QB option.
08/06 Must Have (54%) Lamar Jackson is part of the elite QB tier due to his historical performance, ranking fourth in fantasy points per game, demonstrating top-tier rushing and passing abilities.
08/06 Must Have (100%) Despite unsustainable passing ratios from 2024, Jackson's dual-threat capability and all-time quarterback rushing yard leader status make him a solid top QB choice. His potential to repeat as fantasy QB1 adds to his value.
08/06 Must Have Lamar Jackson, selected third overall, is valued for his rushing ability and potential for high fantasy points in superflex and PPR leagues.
08/05 Must Have Jackson had career highs in passing yards and touchdowns last season and remains the NFL's all-time leader in quarterback rushing yards. Despite unsustainable ratios, he could still repeat as fantasy's QB1.
08/05 Must Have (100%) Jackson was the No. 1 QB in Fantasy last year with over 4,000 passing yards, 41 touchdowns, and 915 rushing yards. His dual-threat ability makes him a top pick.
08/05 Medium Lamar Jackson is mentioned as being selected first overall by a rookie in a non-Superflex, one-QB league. While this may highlight inexperience, it also points to Jackson's perceived high upside.
08/05 Must Have Draft Lamar as he offers significant weekly upside, especially in dual-threat ability, relevant to Ravens fan bias.
08/05 Must Have (100%) Jackson finished as the QB1 in Fantasy points per game last year with a career-high 4,172 passing yards and 41 passing touchdowns, showing a combination of passing excellence and rushing ability.
08/05 Ignore (100%) Despite an outstanding season, using a high draft pick on a QB is not recommended due to better value available at other positions.
08/05 Medium (83%) Jackson falls into a similar tier to Allen for those wanting a top QB early; Round 2 might be the needed spot.
08/05 High (83%) Similar to Allen, Jackson needs to be considered in Round 2 due to risk of being unavailable in Round 3, reflecting his high draft priority.
08/05 Must Have (83%) Lamar Jackson remains a top fantasy football QB with significant dual-threat capabilities, making him a must-have for fantasy team names and beyond.
08/05 Must Have (83%) Lamar Jackson led all players in fantasy points last season with 430.3, setting a new record among quarterbacks. This demonstrates his exceptional ability in a key position and solidifies his value as a top-tier QB pick.
08/05 Must Have After a career-high 41 passing touchdowns and 915 rushing yards in 2024, Lamar Jackson is reinstated as QB1. His dual-threat capabilities and high ceiling make him a top draft target.
08/01 Medium (46%) Jackson is a strong QB, but early-round QB picks aren't optimal when top positional players are available.
08/01 High (100%) Lamar's consistent rushing yardage provides a stable fantasy floor, and he's shown elite passing efficiency with 40+ pass TDs.
08/01 Must Have Lamar Jackson is one of the top 4 QBs due to his dual-threat ability, evidenced by his top fantasy points per game last season. He provides elite production, especially in rushing yards and TDs.
08/01 High Lamar Jackson was the second pick overall in the mock draft, highlighting his high value in a superflex league. His rushing upside increases his fantasy floor and ceiling.

Chris Boswell

Draft Priority High4

I'd grab Boswell in the late rounds. He made most of his kicks and gets lots of chances, so he's a reliable pick, but watch for possible contract or off-field issues. Want 2 more details?

Tank Bigsby

Draft Priority Medium4

Grab him in the late rounds as a cheap bench insurance pick — he could get regular carries and goal-line work if he wins the job. But he may split time and won't catch many passes, so don't count on him for steady points. Want 44 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 44% in 44 sources updated 3 months ago

Primary draft assessment: Tank Bigsby is a mid-round/late-round target with clear upside as an early-down and goal-line candidate but limited three-down emergence due to minimal receiving usage and timeshare risk. Target him around Rounds 9–13 (consensus ADP near RB40–RB45 and FFPC ~137) as a low-cost bench stash/handcuff with boom potential if he wins the early-down role, but expect a low floor if the committee persists.

08/29 High (100%) Positive camp reports and late-season usage growth; high rushing efficiency and best-ball appeal. Consider drafting ahead of Etienne in many formats due to upside and ascending role.
08/28 High (100%) Bigsby out-ran Travis Etienne in 2024 (nearly 200 more rushing yards, higher YPC, tied for league lead in YAC per rush). Reports indicate Bigsby is taking over lead role; target him in drafts as the likely primary early-down and goal-line runner. Recommended draft window: rounds 10–11. Risiko: timeshare if Etienne remains, limited passing usage historically but expected to increase.
08/28 Medium (100%) Named to the All-Breakout Team with tangible upside as an early-down back; good late-round flier with potential to be a weekly RB2 if he wins the role.
08/23 High Called 'encroachment' — expected to get significant role possibly even surpassing Travis Etienne in fantasy output; draft as a complementary asset with upside.
08/22 High Late-round upside pick — being pushed up as Travis ETN slides. Comparable skillset to Bucky Irving; set up in an offense expected to improve. Good bang-for-buck flyer with clear path to meaningful volume if opportunities arise.
08/22 Medium (58%) Jacksonville's primary TD threat and drive-finisher; if Trevor Lawrence takes a step, Bigsby offers consistent touchdown upside — target in middle rounds for TD-floor upside.
08/22 Low (78%) Preseason usage suggests limited ceiling in Jacksonville; behind Travis Etienne, profiles more as change-of-pace with limited fantasy upside (Ranking RB38/ADP 113).
08/22 Medium Identified as a late-round RB (round 9 in sample) with immediate Week 1 opportunity in a split backfield — strong mid/late-round RB pick for volume upside.
08/22 Medium (100%) Projected as the team's second-leading rusher in projections and showed efficiency signs; could earn significant role if Etienne falters or is traded. Still shares a backfield and carries mid-level upside — draft as mid-to-late-round handcuff/role player rather than an early bellcow pick.
08/19 High DRBR shows strong efficiency (4th in yards after contact, 6th in tackles avoided per attempt). Limited pass-catching role but shows better production with heavier volume; new coaching and Lawrence’s return increase chance for uptick in volume/role.
08/19 Low (100%) Same structural concerns as other Jags RBs — pass-first coach, weak run-blocking — limiting ceiling and making him a risky early pick.
08/19 Medium (100%) Saw significant reps in team scrimmage (second-most among RBs) and scored in preseason; viewed as a legit part of Jacksonville’s committee and has upside as part of multi-back rotation.
08/19 High (100%) Bigsby dominated early preseason opportunities and projects to win the lead-back role in Coen’s offense. He’s being priced as one of the cheapest potential lead backs — strong value if he secures the job and Jacksonville improves.
08/19 High (100%) Shown to be the primary back in camp/preseason (first-team touches) and outperformed Travis Etienne Jr. on a per-carry basis last year. Offensive scheme under Liam Coen should favor a lead rusher, giving Bigsby clear upside as a starter.
08/19 Medium (100%) Recommended as a bench stash (Round 9 in the example) because he appears to have an inside track at a Week 1 starting role in an uncertain Jacksonville backfield — upside as a later-round pick.
08/19 Medium (100%) Reportedly receiving first-team reps and could enter a meaningful backfield split with Travis Etienne Jr.; outperformed Etienne in several advanced metrics in 2024. Coaching change (Liam Coen) could boost rushing efficiency. FFPC ADP (~137.7) makes him a cheap late-round flyer with upside.
08/19 Medium Author: 'I'll lean toward Bigsby as the top option for now' in Jacksonville's unclear backfield — recommended as top early-season pick for JAX.
08/19 High (100%) Preseason usage showed near 50/50 split with Travis Etienne, including similar routes/targets/carries. Consensus ADP has Etienne drafted two rounds earlier — Bigsby appears undervalued and should be drafted closer to Etienne or ahead of him in many cases.
08/19 Medium Showing legitimate usage (saw early-down and goal-line carries) and flashed upside; committee with Etienne means don’t overpay, but Bigsby is a sensible late-round flier or handcuff alternative.
08/19 High (100%) Rising ADP and positive training-camp buzz. Efficient rusher who posts strong per-carry production and touchdown upside despite limited receiving usage. Best-ball formats are ideal since you don't need to predict his spike games (multi-touchdown weeks). Market has heated; prioritize him among late-round RB sleepers.
08/15 Low (100%) Round 13 top target: flashed upside in spots but lacking role in passing game and turnover issues as rookie limit fantasy value. Needs double-digit carries and ~1 reception per game to be weekly-startable; roster competition (Jaguars backfield additions) lowers floor.
08/15 Medium (48%) Currently ahead of Tuten on the depth chart and likely to have a stable early-season role. Not a high-upside target but draftable in mid-to-late rounds for floor and early-down work.
08/14 Medium 10th-round ADP (RB41) — clear role coming Week 1 in a potentially improved offense and potential two-back usage under Liam Cohen; good late-round upside but shares backfield and remains a bit of a committee risk.
08/14 Medium Showed clear improvement in year-two: 766 yards, 7 TDs, 4.56 YPC and better efficiency metrics vs. Travis Etienne. Reports indicate Bigsby has been the better downhill runner this offseason. At an ADP near RB44, he’s a high-upside late-round flier—but his minimal receiving work (only eight receptions in 33 games) is a material risk for three-down workhorse upside.
08/14 Medium (100%) Camp reporting favors Bigsby as early‑down lead. He outperformed Travis Etienne in 2024 on carries, yards, and touchdowns and profiles similarly to past jump candidates (Bucky Irving). However, the Jaguars backfield is a committee (Etienne and rookie Bhayshul Tuten), so workload is uncertain.
08/14 Medium Will continue to have significant role in Jaguars’ backfield but is a step below Etienne in receiving — valuable depth/committee member, less standalone upside.
08/13 Medium Not glamorous, but offers immediate Week 1 role potential and useful bench depth at his ADP — viable stash pick.
08/13 High Praised as the better runner on the Jaguars roster and a value pick relative to Travis Etienne; consider drafting Bigsby as a lower-cost handcuff/rotation insurance.
08/12 High (100%) Camp buzz pegs him as the primary ball-carrier for a potential breakout offense, yet he’s still going around RB33. Strong 10th-round value.
08/11 High Bigsby presents a high-upside pick due to his role as the team's bruiser and goal-line back. He had several boom games last season and ranked high in yards after contact and tackles avoided per carry. He's young and offers explosive potential at a lower ADP, making him a strong pick especially in standard or half-PPR leagues.
08/11 Medium Though not a receiving threat, Bigsby could be the focal rushing back for the Jaguars. He led all RBs in certain metrics for a stretch and is a high-upside target in Round 11 due to rushing potential.
08/10 High (59%) Tank Bigsby outperformed Travis Etienne Jr. in several advanced metrics last year, and with Etienne's struggles, Bigsby could emerge as Jacksonville's lead back. The team’s new regime may not hesitate to make a change if Etienne continues to underperform.
08/09 Medium Bigsby is a great late-round target with potential to outperform Travis Etienne in an improved offensive scheme. Coaches have seen him shine in practice, and he fits the running back mold that's been successful in the current offensive system.
08/08 Medium (74%) Moved into Tier 11 as he started training camp well with potential to be the Jaguars' starter, making him an appealing later round pick.
08/08 Medium (100%) Rising draft stock and potential to win the starting RB job in Jacksonville offers back-end RB2/flex appeal.
08/07 Medium (58%) Main TD threat on a Jacksonville offense that is expected to improve in fantasy output. Ideal for those who pass on RBs early.
08/07 Medium (100%) Drafted for RB insurance in Round 12, bringing in touchdown potential and upside if Travis Etienne Jr. underperforms.
08/07 Medium (100%) Tank Bigsby is the most intriguing option in the Jacksonville backfield, still available in late rounds. Competes with Etienne and others, but has shown potential per offseason reports.
08/05 Medium While Tank Bigsby has been getting some training camp hype, the analyst questions his role in passing downs, therefore placing him in a moderate draft priority compared to his backfield competitors.
08/05 Medium Tank Bigsby shows potential as part of a running back committee, and his upside includes goal-line work. However, the uncertainty in Jacksonville's backfield limits his draft value to a mid-round consideration.
08/05 High (100%) Bigsby has shown substantial growth in his performance, surpassing Travis Etienne in key rushing statistics last season. With a potentially larger role in early-down and goal-line carries, he presents significant upside, especially if he secures the early-down role for Jacksonville.
08/05 Medium Bigsby could start early in the season in a strong Jacksonville offense. At 125th overall, he's an ideal low-risk bench stash with potential upside.
08/05 Medium (100%) While the Jacksonville Jaguars' backfield competition is open, Bigsby earning the bulk of the carries early on in camp suggests he could emerge, particularly with new coach Liam Coen's readiness to start the best player.
08/02 Medium (100%) Tank Bigsby earning the bulk of the carries early in camp makes him a shrewd pick at his current ADP, especially given the new coach's willingness to let competitions play out.

D'Andre Swift

Draft Priority High3

Draft him in the mid rounds — he should be the main back and catches a lot of passes, so he gives steady weekly value and could finish as one of the better running backs. Watch out: he’s not very efficient running the ball, has teammates who could take carries, and his touchdown numbers could swing a lot. Want 45 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 31% in 45 sources updated 3 months ago

High priority — Swift represents a strong mid-round target (ADP RB21–25; late Round 5–early Round 6) offering a PPR-friendly floor as the projected lead back with a sizable target share under Ben Johnson, and upside to finish as a top-12 RB. Draft him in the mid rounds (Rounds 5–7) as an RB2/RB3 with weekly flex value; main risks are rushing inefficiency (3.8 YPC), competition (Roschon Johnson/Kyle Monangai), and touchdown volatility which could cap upside.

08/29 High (100%) Article argues Swift is the clear RB1 in Chicago entering 2025: upgraded offensive line (new additions with better run-blocking grades), Ben Johnson as playcaller (history of using a receiving back), and Swift's heavy prior usage (77.8% of team rush attempts) point to a high-upside volume role. Current ADP is RB22, which the author calls undervalued and expects Swift could finish around RB13-14. Recommended to target as a high-value mid-round pick.
08/28 High (100%) Draftable in Round 4 per author (CBS ADP early Round 5 on CBS), safer than Walker due to less injury history and little competition for touches. Has proven RB1-per-game upside when paired with Ben Johnson; expected to benefit from improved offensive line and new coaching staff.
08/28 Medium (100%) Consistent but unspectacular PPR production over past three seasons; likely RB committee in Chicago and possibly limited goal-line carries under Ben Johnson usage patterns. Best drafted in Round 6–7 rather than earlier rounds.
08/27 High (66%) Favorite pick: used like a workhorse in preseason, backups injured, team hasn't added depth. Never worse than RB24 per game historically and has top-12 upside. Excellent value in Round 5 in this mock.
08/27 High (100%) Model ranks Swift ahead of Joe Mixon and David Montgomery despite those backs being drafted earlier. Worked well with coach Ben Johnson previously, and Johnson favors two productive backs — suggesting Swift should see solid work and targets. Recent season (career-high 1,345 scrimmage yards) supports upside.
08/26 Medium Dominated snaps in Bears preseason with starters; projects as a high-floor RB3/flex and is a reasonable mid-round (6th–7th) target if you need RB help, but committee and role volatility exist.
08/26 High (100%) Projected to handle majority of touches in Chicago's backfield under coach Ben Johnson who previously worked with him; finished with 1,345 yards from scrimmage and durability/stability improved (played all 17 games). High-floor flex with upside (ADP: RB21).
08/22 Low Questionable as a dependable fantasy RB — unlikely to be goal-line option, needs heavy passing-game volume to match value, and Bears OL/usage uncertain; may face competition for snaps.
08/22 Medium (100%) Consistent but limited fantasy ceiling (averaged ~12–14 PPR ppg past 3 seasons). Role may be committee-ish; not a high-upside bellcow. Recommendation: Round 6–7 range.
08/22 Medium (78%) Set up for key touches and targets in Ben Johnson's offense; durability concerns persist but lack of competition improves his floor (Ranking RB22, ADP 59).
08/22 Medium Chosen in the fourth round in the sample to bolster RB depth — useful mid-round RB target with upside in passing game usage.
08/22 Medium Taken mid-draft as a RB target; has pass-catching upside but durability concerns — mid-round RB with PPR appeal if healthy.
08/19 Medium Author moved Swift ahead of Pollard in the tiers, indicating slightly higher draft value than Pollard right now.
08/17 High (64%) Provides safe floor and now upgraded upside due to improved offensive line and Ben Johnson as playcaller, who historically elevates RB usage and targets (70-target season previously). Carries RB1 upside at a low-end RB2 price.
08/16 Medium Clear lead back in practice with pass-game role upside; described as a good low-end No. 2 RB — solid RB2 target but not a workhorse lock given committee reps in practice.
08/16 High (58%) Called an appealing, underrated RB target in the middle rounds — pass-catching upside and RB2 ceiling.
08/15 Medium (100%) Mid-round RB2 upside at ADP ~63-66 overall due to high snap (66.9%) and opportunity share (75.9%) in 2024, familiarity with new HC Ben Johnson (who coached him in Detroit), improved offensive line, and solid receiving usage. Risks include 2024 rushing inefficiency (3.8 YPC), competition (Roschon Johnson, rookie Kyle Monangai), and touchdown regression/low red-zone luck. Good floor as lead back but limited ceiling vs elite RBs; recommended as a calculated mid-round pick.
08/14 High 5th-round ADP (RB22) offers strong value: improved offensive line, new HC Ben Johnson who favors run game, quality surrounding weapons to keep boxes open; can be a team’s RB3 with upside for more.
08/14 High Established high-volume back: 75.9% opportunity share and 66.9% snap share in 2024. Coaching change to Ben Johnson (who coached Swift in Detroit) should boost offensive efficiency and suit Swift’s skill set. ADP at ~RB25 makes him a value pick for PPR formats.
08/14 High (100%) Proven pass-catching RB who finished as RB17 (2023) and RB19 (2024). Under new OC Ben Johnson, who used Swift heavily in Detroit, Swift projects as a reliable RB2 with weekly PPR upside and occasional top-10 weeks. Depth behind him (Roschon Johnson, Kyle Monangai) does not threaten his workload.
08/14 High Expected to resume a dual-usage role (rushing + receiving) under new coach Ben Johnson; should be fantasy-relevant even if the Bears lack explosive depth at RB.
08/13 Low ADP in Round 5 is too early — expected committee with Roschon Johnson, rookie Kyle Monangai and potential goal-line backs; not a reliable workhorse and faces a difficult fantasy playoff schedule.
08/13 Medium Sensible as an RB3/flex target but risky as an RB2 given volatile Chicago offense and inconsistency risk; owners drafting him as an RB2 are likely overreaching.
08/13 High (19%) Analyst calls him a steal at ADP ~ pick 61 due to familiarity with Ben Johnson's offense and expected heavy RB usage.
08/12 Low (100%) Bears RBs have the 9th-toughest schedule; brutal early divisional matchups (Vikings, Lions). New HC Ben Johnson has previously moved on from Swift, and rookie Kyle Monangai could siphon volume. Swift was only a low-end RB2 last year.
08/11 Medium (100%) Swift is a top Zero-RB target, with potential high upside for those waiting on RBs until later rounds.
08/11 Medium (100%) Swift offers better value as he's projected to finish higher than Pollard but is being drafted in later rounds, providing upside potential versus his ADP.
08/11 High Swift's significant reception potential places him high on the draft radar, as he could surpass his ADP of RB21 by leading running backs in receptions. His historical reception rate under coach Ben Johnson supports this high target share and fantasy point projection.
08/09 Low Concerns regarding his role in the offense and his fit with Johnson's system, given past performance inconsistencies. Seen as a risky pick relative to his ADP.
08/08 High (74%) Moved ahead of Henderson with a promising outlook for increased involvement in the passing game. Expect a boost in productivity.
08/06 Medium Back and forth ADP concerns, unknown team support and presence of backups limit confidence.
08/06 Low (100%) Swift has potential for targets from the backfield under former coach Ben Johnson in Chicago, but drafting him as a fifth RB in Round 7 may be excessive.
08/06 High (60%) Swift is poised as a lead back in an improved Chicago Bears offense, with little competition for touches and solid reception ability.
08/05 Medium Drafted late, but offered upside in 2024, finished strongly in RB rankings.
08/05 Medium Swift offers a consistent RB2 floor with borderline RB1 upside, given the Lions' lack of significant competition for touches. His history of reliable PPR production makes him a great floor pick with upside potential.
08/05 Medium While not beloved by all, Swift at the end of the fourth round is a steal due to his scoring opportunities and improved offensive line.
08/05 High (73%) D'Andre Swift is noted for his skills that meet three critical RB criteria: passing game usage, goal-line touches, and overall volume. Listed for consideration after top-20 RBs.
08/05 High Swift has been a top target and his ADP is trending down, making him a value pick at RB25. He's expected to have a breakout in an improved Chicago offense.
08/05 Must Have (64%) Swift's league-winning upside as the lead back in Ben Johnson's offense makes him a must-have, especially given his value at an ADP of RB21 that provides RB1 upside potential.
08/05 High DeAndre Swift enters the season with RB22 status but has the potential to outperform his ADP significantly. With a new offensive-minded head coach in Ben Johnson, who previously succeeded with run-heavy schemes, and an upgraded offensive line, Swift can easily become a top 12 RB. His draft position in the late fifth to early sixth round offers excellent value, especially as an RB3 or flex option with RB1 upside.
08/05 Medium (100%) Swift is the starter by default, but faces a challenging start to the season and competition within the team, which may lead to a reduced role if he struggles early.
08/05 Low Swift's inefficiency as a runner, despite the offensive upgrades in Chicago, poses a significant risk. His value as a receiver is uncertain, making him a speculative pick.
08/01 High (60%) Swift is not threatened by other backs in Chicago and had 70 targets under previous coordinator. Strong draft choice.
08/01 High D'Andre Swift is a high-value pick in the sixth round due to his consistent production and an enhanced role in the Bears' improved offensive system. He offers a safe floor with potential RB1 upside at a discounted ADP.
08/01 High D'Andre Swift is set in an improved offensive environment with minimal competition in Chicago. With 295 touches last year and significant offensive upgrades, he offers huge RB1 potential.

Cedrick Wilson Jr.

Draft Priority Medium5

Draft him in the mid rounds as a backup. He's getting more slot snaps and could catch a fair number of passes, but with bigger names ahead of him he probably won’t score much unless injuries happen, so he’s a bit risky.

Rashod Bateman

Draft Priority Medium4

Draft him in the late rounds as a long-shot pick. He can make big plays and score near the goal line, so grab him in deep leagues but don’t rely on him as a weekly starter. Want 13 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 48% in 13 sources updated 3 months ago

Medium — Draft as a late-round upside dart rather than an early/mid-round target; target Rounds 12–15 given an ADP around the WR20–30 range (models differ, some as WR26/WR35). While several models and analysts view 2024's nine-TD season as an outlier and cite added competition and inconsistent weekly volume, Bateman retains clear big-play and red-zone upside, making him valuable in best-ball or deep-roster formats but risky as a weekly starter.

08/28 High (100%) Extended by Baltimore and positioned as a reliable chain-mover and red-zone target behind Zay Flowers and DeAndre Hopkins; being drafted too low relative to his opportunity — clear sleeper breakout to target.
08/26 Low (74%) Used as late-round depth (Round 13) to 'pad receiver depth' — useful as a depth/bye-week option but not a priority starter in drafts.
08/19 Low (100%) Model lists Bateman as a 2025 bust candidate (WR36) due to high variance — multiple big outbursts but nine games under 50 receiving yards. His boom-or-bust profile makes him a poor early/mid-round pick; target only as late depth with limited upside.
08/19 Medium (100%) High spike-week ceiling — averaged 19.4 PPR/G in his five peak games — but a low floor (WR3 or worse in 70%+ of games in 2024). Good dart/boom pick in best ball where spike weeks pay off, but risky as a weekly starter in redraft due to inconsistent volume.
08/17 Low (100%) The model lists Bateman as a 2025 bust. Despite playing all 17 games in 2024 and finishing with 759 yards, his production was inconsistent (held under 50 receiving yards in 9 of 17 games) and he produced a few big outlier games that inflated his totals. SportsLine ranks him WR36 — behind several receivers being drafted later — signaling fade/avoid in drafts.
08/15 High High-stakes ADP is ~23 spots earlier due to strong 2024 production (9 TDs) and expected continued touchdown/ big-play upside even if volume favors Zay Flowers/DeAndre Hopkins. Good scoring upside—draft earlier than public ADP suggests.
08/14 Low (100%) Low-cost roster filler ($5) with occasional flex value in deep leagues — not a primary draft target.
08/12 Medium (100%) Coming off a 45-756-9 season; cheap flyer for matchup-based depth while Zay Flowers is pricier.
08/10 Low (100%) Bateman is seen as a bust candidate due to regression after an outlier nine-touchdown season, competition from new additions Zay Flowers and DeAndre Hopkins, and a top tight end group in Baltimore. His ADP as WR26 doesn't match the model's WR35 ranking.
08/09 Medium (100%) Bateman is seen as a touchdown machine and is expected to hold an ascending role within the Ravens' offense after being extended despite two more years on his contract.
08/09 Low (100%) Bateman's previous season stands out as an anomaly, and with the addition of new offensive weapons in Baltimore, he is likely to regress.
08/06 Medium (100%) Bateman has shown promising signs of breakout potential. With Hopkins and Flowers drawing coverages, Bateman has the potential for increased targets, especially if either player gets injured.
08/05 Low Touchdown production in previous season was atypical and supported by a spike in Lamar Jackson's passing touchdowns. Increased competition with new arrivals.