2025 NFL Season
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Week 14 Advice
Sup dude? This week I combed through 264 shitty fantasy football articles and videos so you dont have to and pulled out 2172 pieces of bullshit advice. We're covering 342 players & teams here. You can thank me later... maybe consider buying me a beer?
Synthesis: Multiple reliable reports (Graziano, NBC reporting, team/coach statements) identify Dowdle as the Panthers’ primary early-down/early-down workhorse with higher carry volume than Chuba Hubbard — giving him a safer volume floor, especially in standard scoring. Counterpoints: usage is trending toward a true committee (Dvorchak) and Dowdle’s route participation/receiving work has dropped (Smyth, Denny Carter), which lowers PPR ceiling and makes weekly value volatile. Recommendation: Start Dowdle in standard/non-PPR formats and in most lineups where you need a dependable floor—provided his projected carries/snaps stay healthy. In full-PPR or if projections show <70% backfield touches or significant target share to Hubbard, consider benching or monitoring until trends clarify. Actionable triggers to change decision before lock: if expected RB targets >2 for Hubbard or Dowdle’s snap share drops below ~60% or backfield touches projected <10, sit.
- 12/05 Monitor (100%) Still getting significant carries (18 in Week 13) but effectiveness has declined relative to Hubbard; backfield is a true committee now, so Dowdle’s weekly value is volatile—monitor usage and snap/share trends before starting.
- 12/05 Start (100%) Text indicates 'Panthers’ Dowdle to remain primary early-down RB' — if he retains the early-down role he has reliable volume for standard scoring and should be started accordingly.
- 12/05 Monitor (100%) Coach Dave Canales / reporting says Dowdle will remain the Panthers' primary early-down running back, but Denny Carter notes his fantasy ceiling is lowered because he’s losing passing-game usage to Chuba Hubbard. That reduces PPR upside and makes him less reliable in formats that value catches/targets.
- 12/02 Sit (100%) Usage dropped to a split backfield vs. Chuba Hubbard (Dowdle ran only 6 of 22 routes among RBs); his fantasy value falls when under 70% backfield touches.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Article says Dowdle had more carries than Chuba Hubbard and remains 'the one to count on' for the Panthers' backfield, indicating higher floor for fantasy.
Both sources show declining short-term value: recent production is poor (under 20 yards in 2 of his last 3 games) and matchup-facing Green Bay is cited as limiting receivers this week. 4for4 additionally lists him as 'also droppable,' signaling diminished longer-term fantasy value if the trend continues. Risk/reward here favors benching—low floor and uncertain target share make him a bad start this week. If you’re tight on roster spots or the negative trend persists, consider dropping; otherwise stash on bench and monitor usage/injury news.
- 12/05 Sit Low recent production (fewer than 20 yards in two of last three games) and tough matchup vs. Packers who have limited fantasy output to receivers; bench him this week.
- 12/02 Drop (100%) Named in the 'Also Droppable' section, indicating diminished fantasy value per the article's advice to trim rosters.
Both experts agree: Malik Nabers suffered a torn ACL and is out for the season, but they explicitly call him a solid dynasty trade target for managers rebuilding. Recommendation: pursue Nabers in dynasty trades while he’s on the mend — buy low. Rationale: young, ascending WR who had strong usage/production before the injury and is projected to be a long-term focal point of his offense when healthy; that creates high upside for dynasty value. Downside/risk: torn ACL means a 9–12+ month recovery timeline and some uncertainty in post-injury performance, so this is a stash/roster-building move, not a redraft start or immediate starter pickup. Target price should reflect injury risk (late-round pick/bench assets in dynasty), and avoid overpaying. Overall this is a high-upside, buy-low dynasty play with moderate medical risk.
- 12/04 Trade Suffered a torn ACL and is out for the season, but the piece explicitly calls him a solid trade target for dynasty managers looking to rebuild — pursue in dynasty trades.
- 12/02 Trade Torn ACL ending season but noted as a 'solid trade target for dynasty managers' — pursue in dynasty rebuilds when available.
Consensus across multiple experts points to limited upside and declining usage: seven-game touchdown drought, no double-digit half-PPR outputs since Week 5, and no 12+ carry games since Week 5 after Tyjae Spears returned. Targets and volume have fallen, Titans offense is underperforming, and Pollard faces a brutal stretch of matchups (Browns — elite vs RBs, then 49ers and Chiefs). Risk/reward is poor in 12-team leagues — low floor and little chance for a breakout based on current usage and upcoming schedule. Consider keeping only in deeper/keeper formats or as an emergency handcuff; otherwise drop for higher-upside depth.
- 12/06 Sit Hasn't posted double-digit fantasy points in seven straight outings and faces a tough Browns defense — low upside this week.
- 12/04 Drop Article lists Pollard as a 'drop candidate' after extended touchdown drought and low recent production; little upside vs Cleveland.
- 12/04 Sit (100%) Since Tyjae Spears' return Pollard's volume has dried up (no 12+ carry games since Week 5) and target share is low; facing Browns who are elite against running backs (3.7 YPC allowed) — avoid Pollard.
- 12/02 Drop (100%) Listed by the article under 'Running Backs to Consider Cutting' for Week 14 — recommended for roster drops in 12-team leagues.
- 12/02 Drop (100%) Seven games without a touchdown and no double-digit half-PPR since Week 5; Titans offense underperforming and upcoming tough matchups (Cleveland, 49ers, Chiefs) reduce upside.
Synthesis: Most analysts lean toward starting Swift this week due to recent high-volume, high-upside production (125-yard game; 3 of 4 games with 80+ rushing yards), clear pass-game role (routes/targets), and goal-line/green-zone touchdown equity in a Bears offense leaning on the run. Supporting factors include reports that the Packers may be missing DT Devonte Wyatt (helps run game) and data showing Green Bay has been more vulnerable to RBs since Week 9. Counterpoints: there is a true timeshare with rookie Kyle Monangai (who has recently out-snapped/out-carried Swift), some commentators call his value volatile, and the Packers are overall a stout run defense — so upside comes with volatility. Recommendation: Start Swift as an RB2/FLEX in most formats (PPR preferred) while monitoring Monangai’s injury/active status and Week 1-game-day snap reports; if Monangai is clearly commanding heavy goal-line snaps or is healthy and trending to steal volume, downgrade to bench in shallow leagues. Overall risk/reward favors starting him for upside and floor via targets, but be ready to pivot on final snap-share news.
- 12/06 Sit (100%) The Bears plan to use 12 personnel and run more often, but the Packers have a stout run defense (3.9 yards per carry, tied for 5th best). That suggests limited upside for Bears RBs; expect a challenging matchup for Swift.
- 12/06 Start (100%) Crossed 100 yards in recent game and projects as the lead back with Monangai dealing with an injury — viable fantasy option this week.
- 12/06 Start (100%) Coming off a 125-yard rushing game and has hit 80+ rushing yards in three of four games — strong expectation to exceed 50.5 rushing yards again.
- 12/05 Start (100%) Produced 18/125/1 and ran majority of routes, seeing targets while sharing backfield—Bears' run-first approach provides volume for both backs making Swift startable as an RB2.
- 12/05 Start (100%) High touchdown equity in Bears' run-heavy green zone offense — expected to get short-yardage/goal-line carries and weekly touchdown upside; worthy of starting in most formats.
- 12/05 Start (100%) Coming off a 125-yard game with consistent production (6 of 8 games 14.8+ PPR); Packers will be without DT Devonte Wyatt, which helps the run game.
- 12/04 Add Host advised buying DeAndre Swift (RB21) based on upgraded Chicago offense and increased scoring opportunities; trending toward top-15 RB if volume continues.
- 12/04 Start In the Bears' timeshare Swift is the lead back when the team is trailing or needs to match points. On the road as TD underdogs vs. the Packers, this projects as a 'Swift week.'
- 12/04 Start (100%) Preferred in this matchup because of pass-game utility and higher upside; Packers have been more vulnerable to RBs since Week 9 (rushing yards, TDs, explosive runs).
- 12/02 Sit (100%) Rookie Kyle Monangai has out-snapped/out-carried Swift recently and scored the goal-line TD last week; split/no clear role plus a tough matchup vs the Eagles (sixth-fewest rush yards allowed since Week 8) makes Swift a sit this week.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Bears’ run game improving with strong yards-before-contact; Swift has high upside on the ground and remains valuable in positive rushing matchups.
- 12/02 Sit Value described as 'volatile' due to backfield split with Kyle Monangai and has had decreasing fantasy output over five consecutive games — recommended to sit or bench in favor of more reliable options.
- 12/02 Monitor (100%) Article says 'Both Bears RBs are startable in fantasy' is an OVERREACTION — while Swift performed well in one game, upcoming schedule (Packers-Browns-Packers) makes relying on him risky; recommend monitoring matchup and workload.
Majority of analysts lean toward starting Pittman due to his consistent target share and volume (historical ~22.5% target share and ~28.1% first-read share). Several sources call him a reliable floor play and ‘dub flex’ candidate; Rotoworld also notes startability for floor/volume despite low ceiling. Counterarguments include QB Daniel Jones’ health concerns and a couple of analyst notes highlighting a tough secondary matchup (Texans allowed few receiving yards/TDs) and recent low-yardage games (three straight under 30 yards). Given the mixed advice, the safer play is to start Pittman as a volume-driven WR3/flex if Daniel Jones is active — but be cautious: expect low ceiling and check the final injury report and opponent matchup (Texans vs. Jacksonville discrepancy in sources).
- 12/05 Start Expected bounce-back due to favorable coverage matchup: opposing team (Jacksonville) has used single-high coverage at a very high rate since Week 10, which should increase Pittman’s target share. Historical target metrics: ~22.5% target share and ~28.1% first-read share support volume-driven upside.
- 12/04 Start Text describes Pittman as the safer, steady option with career-high touchdown production and continued steady involvement — a reliable start.
- 12/04 Start Reliable target share and talent — placed in ‘dub flex,’ should be started over lower-floor options.
- 12/04 Sit Indy passing game is down; Daniel Jones appears unhealthy and Pittman has three straight games under 30 yards — sit until improvement.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Still startable but has fallen into a low-ceiling WR3 role due to Colts' struggles, game scripts, and Daniel Jones' passing tendencies — start if you need floor/volume.
- 12/02 Sit (100%) Facing the Texans, who have allowed the 7th-fewest yards and only six total TDs to receivers this season; they suppress completion percentage and passer rating to WRs and limit deep-pass success.
- 12/02 Sit (100%) Article states 'No Colts receiver is a reliable fantasy starter' and calls Pittman among inconsistent options; with Daniel Jones injured, passing game is unstable and receivers are week-to-week.
Strong expert consensus to start him this week based on a recent usage spike (team-high 8 targets last game; 24.4% target share last week; 27.2% target share in the three games Drake London missed). The Seahawks have been exploitable vs. tight ends (top-5 in TE points/yards allowed recently), creating a favorable matchup and upside. Most analysts caveat that his value falls if Drake London is active — in that case expect reduced targets and to monitor/downgrade — but with London likely to sit per multiple sources, Pitts projects as a TE1/TE2 with meaningful ceiling. Main risks: season-long inconsistency and dependency on London’s injury status; check the late injury report. Overall start unless London is confirmed active.
- 12/06 Start Listed as a start — recommended to start this week.
- 12/06 Start Comes off his best game of the season and now faces a Seattle defense that, while tough overall, allows the fifth-most points to TEs — good upside.
- 12/06 Sit (100%) Author explicitly says he wouldn’t start Pitts despite increased recent usage — considered unreliable for starting lineups this week.
- 12/06 Start (100%) Opportunity bump with Kirk Cousins starting and Drake London likely to sit; Seahawks have struggled vs. opposing tight ends, creating a favorable matchup.
- 12/04 Start (100%) Matchup highlight — Seahawks struggle to contain TEs (ranked 7th most exploitable vs TEs). Pitts has averaged 11.5 PPR and 25.9% target share in Cousins' starts, making him a TE1/TE2 start candidate.
- 12/04 Start (100%) Has a 27.2% target share in the three games Drake London missed — explicit advice: ‘He is a start if London is out this week.’
- 12/04 Start (100%) Strong connection with Kirk Cousins (team-high 8 targets last week) and likely to be heavily targeted again, especially if Drake London is out. Seahawks have allowed the 3rd-most yards to TEs (2nd-most since Week 9), and Falcons may be chasing points — good upside.
- 12/04 Start (100%) Analysts (Matthew Berry, Jay Croucher, Connor Rogers) specifically recommended starting Kyle Pitts for Week 14 and noted he could find success versus the Seahawks’ defense.
- 12/04 Monitor Hosts recommend downgrading Pitts if Drake London is active. He’s a startable option only if London remains out; otherwise expect reduced targets and a lower TE ranking.
- 12/04 Start If he repeats the ~8-target game he had last week, he'll have high upside against Seattle, which allows the 5th-most points to TEs.
- 12/02 Start (51%) Said to 'ready for another game without Drake London' — absence of a key receiver should boost Pitts' target volume; start in TE spot.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Coming off a strong volume week (24.4% target share) and produced big YAC; Seattle has allowed 16.53 FPG to tight ends this season (18.75 over last four weeks), providing an attractive matchup even if Drake London returns.
Consensus: If Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) is ruled OUT or inactive, Williams is the clear primary receiving option — he posted 7-144-1 on 10 targets when ARSB left Week 13, logged ~90–94% of snaps, and saw a 37–40% target share/route participation spike. Matchup: Dallas is one of the league’s worst defenses to WR fantasy scoring (most WR TDs and fantasy PPG allowed) and vulnerable to deep passes, with Vegas expecting a shootout — high upside. Evidence quality & recency: Multiple reputable outlets (Yahoo, CBS, ESPN, NBC, RotoBaller, etc.) explicitly call him a must-start or top waiver/add assuming ARSB is out; data comes from last week’s game and current injury reports, so it’s timely and strong. Risks: Volatile week-to-week value tied directly to ARSB’s status; if ARSB plays, Williams’ target share and ceiling drop significantly and he becomes a boom-or-bust bench/flex candidate. Recommendation: Start him if ARSB is inactive; monitor injury reports up to kickoff and check snap/target news — if ARSB is active, downgrade. Prop note: market/analysts view his yardage prop (≈79.5) as attainable if ARSB misses.
- 12/06 Start Listed as a start — projected to have downfield opportunities in the matchup.
- 12/06 Start (100%) Listed as the top WR option if Amon-Ra St. Brown is inactive — primary replacement on a thinned depth chart. Start him in your lineup if St. Brown is ruled out.
- 12/05 Add Projected to see a large target share with Amon-Ra St. Brown likely out; listed as a top waiver pickup and must-start against Dallas.
- 12/05 Start (100%) When Amon-Ra St. Brown was out he played ~94% of snaps and saw 10 targets (7-144-1 performance); high upside if St. Brown misses again.
- 12/05 Start (100%) In Week 13 logged 40% target share while Amon-Ra St. Brown tweaked his ankle; saw career-high catches/yards and his route participation target rate doubled, making him the primary receiving option if St. Brown misses time.
- 12/05 Start (100%) Listed as an X-factor for Week 14 if Amon-Ra St. Brown (ankle) is questionable/out. Has produced WR1-type finishes under Dan Campbell when ARSB was out — high-upside start in that scenario.
- 12/05 Monitor (100%) Article calls attention to Jameson Williams in player-prop markets for the Cowboys-Lions Week 14 preview — suggests upside or volatility in his targets/production that merits watching into game time for fantasy or prop decisions.
- 12/05 Start Exploded for 144 yards and a TD last week; must-play if Amon-Ra St. Brown is out. Cowboys have allowed the most TDs and fantasy PPG to WRs and are vulnerable to deep passes, creating high upside and likely a shootout.
- 12/05 Start (100%) Amon-Ra St. Brown is expected to be out (ankle), making Williams a 'must-start' in most leagues after a 7-catch, 144-yard, 1-TD performance on 10 targets when St. Brown left Week 13. Dallas is vulnerable to opposing receivers (No. 1 in fantasy points allowed).
- 12/04 Start (100%) Listed among 'others to like' — favorable matchup (Lions vs Cowboys) and called out in WR recommendations for the week.
- 12/04 Start (47%) St. Brown is a game-time decision/out; when St. Brown left last week Williams saw 10 targets for 7 receptions, 144 yards and a TD and is playing ~91% of snaps. Vegas expects a shootout and Cowboys are vulnerable to outside passes — strong upside and volume.
- 12/04 Start (45%) Named as a prop pick (over 79.5 receiving yards) and noted as the unquestioned No.1 if Amon-Ra St. Brown misses — he posted 7-144-1 on Thanksgiving and should see heavy targets if St. Brown is out.
- 12/04 Start If Amon-Ra St. Brown is inactive, Williams would be thrust into WR1 tier and should be started in that scenario.
- 12/04 Start Text says Jameson Williams should be solid — especially if Amon-Ra St. Brown is inactive — implying elevated role and startable upside.
- 12/04 Start Rankers highlighted Williams as the higher-ceiling play this week over Rashee Rice — top-6 finishes in 3 of his last 4 games and strong recent explosiveness make him a ceiling-oriented start.
- 12/04 Start Projected primary target/alpha with multiple Detroit pass-catchers (Amon-Ra, Sam LaPorta, Brock Wright) out or questionable; very high target/yardage line and strong upside in a high-total Thursday night game.
- 12/04 Start High ceiling and recent form (≥14 fantasy points in 4 of 5); projected to see a large role if Amon-Ra St. Brown is inactive — start in that scenario.
- 12/02 Add (54%) Projected target boost if Amon-Ra St. Brown misses Week 14; the article lists him as the immediate beneficiary and places him in top WR tiers assuming ARSB out.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Career-high 37% target share on Thanksgiving with Amon-Ra St. Brown out; 11.2 yards per target (third-best among WRs) — projected must-start if St. Brown remains out vs. Cowboys.
- 12/02 Monitor Stepped into primary role after Amon-Ra St. Brown left with an ankle injury and produced 26.9 points; would have top-10 upside if St. Brown misses Week 14.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Exploded for 7-144-1 and should see the majority of targets in a strong Week 14 matchup vs the Cowboys if Amon-Ra is out — startable WR with upside this week.
Synthesis: CBS recommends START based on Johnston’s history vs the Raiders and the Raiders’ generosity to opposing receivers — gives him a viable floor as a WR3. NBC analysts flag him as MONITOR due to a poor Week 13 outing and roster/injury notes; that creates risk and means you should confirm active status and snap/target projections before locking him in. Rotoworld recommends SIT because the Chargers are shifting to more short-area work, which dampens Johnston’s deep-target value and ceiling. Recommendation: start Johnston as a low-upside/high-floor WR3/flex if he’s active and expected to see normal/above-average snaps — Raider matchup and target volume can salvage production despite fewer deep shots. If injury status is uncertain, snap counts look limited, or you’re in a shallow league where floor matters more than upside, bench him. Risk/Reward: medium — matchup helps but offensive scheme and recent quiet games limit ceiling. Action contingent on late-week injury/snap confirmation and matchup/game script.
- 12/05 Sit (100%) Chargers shifting to short-area attack reduces Johnston's deep-target/value; analyst moved him down from recent ranking perch.
- 12/02 Monitor (100%) Called out for a poor fantasy outing in the Chargers’ Week 13 game and tied to roster injury notes — suggests risk and need to check status and snaps before starting.
- 12/02 Start Good history vs Raiders and the Raiders have been one of the more generous defenses to opposing receivers; Johnston is worthy of No.3 WR usage this week despite some recent quiet games.
Unanimous expert consensus to start Chase this week. Key factors: (1) Volume — repeatedly noted as the Bengals' clear WR1 with elite target share; Burrow targeted him 14 times in return (7-110), signaling heavy usage. (2) Injury context — Tee Higgins is out/limited in multiple reports, which should shift an even larger workload and red-zone targets to Chase. (3) Matchup/game script — several outlets highlight a favorable game environment (Bills game with the highest implied total ~53.5 and a vulnerable Bills secondary) and/or matchup vs. Baltimore where Chase remains focal; both contexts point to strong upside. (4) Upside outweighs risks — weather and matchup concerns are mentioned but experts agree volume and ceiling make him a must-start in PPR and DFS. Recommendation: start Chase as your WR1; expect target-heavy game with boom potential but be aware of weather or game-script caveats that could cap production.
- 12/06 Start Listed as a must-start — high target share and good matchup potential.
- 12/06 Start (100%) Top overall WR this season with elite target and YAC metrics; matchup against the Bills (highest game implied total 53.5) and a weak Bills secondary creates a clear path for a massive game. Article calls him a focal point for DFS lineups in Week 14.
- 12/05 Start Locked in as the WR1 regardless of Higgins' status; elite target share and matchup make him a must-start.
- 12/05 Start (64%) Ranked #3 WR in the Week 14 PPR rankings — top-3 WR and recommended start in PPR formats.
- 12/04 Start (100%) Very high confidence (89) in the cheat sheet — strong start candidate against Buffalo.
- 12/04 Start (100%) Ranked No. 2 in the rest-of-season wide receiver rankings with a top-tier value; projects as a weekly WR1 and should be started when healthy.
- 12/04 Start Tee Higgins missed Week 13 and is limited in practice; Chase will continue to handle a hefty workload and should be started.
- 12/04 Start Called a must-start for the Bengals; clear alpha in that offense despite weather/game concerns.
- 12/04 Start Saw 14 targets in Joe Burrow's return and produced 7-110; volume and target share make him a start despite weather concerns.
- 12/02 Start Tee Higgins ruled out — Chase will handle a hefty workload and is a clear start vs. the Ravens.
- 12/02 Start (100%) Elite confidence rating (9.4) — top-tier downfield threat and primary target for Joe Burrow; start despite tough matchup because of ceiling.
- 12/02 Start (100%) High confidence score (89) — top target for Joe Burrow and big-play upside; recommended start this week.