2025 NFL Season

Draft Kit
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Fantasy Football Draft Advice

Sup dude? This week I combed through 1316 shitty fantasy football articles and videos so you dont have to and pulled out 9019 pieces of bullshit advice. We're covering 518 players & teams here. You can thank me later... maybe consider buying me a beer?

Last updated 8 months ago (8/29/2025 11:27 AM PT).

Position
QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
Draft Priority
Must Have
High
Medium
Low
Ignore

Caleb Williams

Draft Priority High3

Draft Caleb Williams in the late rounds as a bench QB in normal leagues; if your league lets you start two quarterbacks, think about picking him earlier in the draft. He can put up big numbers but he’s a rookie and there are questions about the line and camp, so he could be inconsistent. Want 42 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 32% in 42 sources updated 8 months ago

High — Caleb Williams projects as a high-upside, late-round QB target in redraft (typical ADP range ~#102–#125 / mid‑to‑late rounds) and as an earlier pick in Superflex formats (consensus suggests early 2nd-round value in some startups). Ben Johnson’s arrival, improved OL and added weapons materially lift his ceiling toward a potential 4,000+ yard season with strong rushing upside; draft as a QB2/bench stash in redraft or consider earlier in Superflex. Risk: rookie inconsistency, preseason camp concerns and protection/sack issues create volatility despite the high upside.

08/29 High Improved offensive line (top-10 unit outlook), two high-profile rookie pass catchers added (Colston Loveland, Luther Burden III), new OC Ben Johnson who improved Jared Goff; preseason showed maturation. Available as a top-12 QB candidate late (around the 13th round in 10-team drafts) — ideal wait-on-QB target with upside.
08/29 Medium Author waited until the very end to take a QB (Caleb Williams), and explicitly suggests QBs went early in the draft. Implies Williams (rookie) is best targeted as a late-round QB or dynasty asset rather than a reach in early/mid rounds; rookie uncertainty and tough early schedule (Week 1 vs Minnesota) are risk factors.
08/28 High (100%) Listed among standout Tier 4 signal-callers; as a high-profile rookie with top-downward ADP volatility, he offers significant upside relative to his rookie uncertainty — target as a value pick in mid-to-late QB rounds or early pick in Superflex if ADP allows.
08/28 High (100%) ADP dropped due to reported struggles in training camp, but preseason performance and improved Bears situation (Ben Johnson, added weapons) make him a discounted high-upside QB to wait on draft day.
08/26 High Starting QB for the Bears in preseason, playing with Rome Odunze and DJ Moore — buy if you believe in the offense/Ben Johnson scheme.
08/26 High (100%) Rookie QB in an improving Bears offense; coach Ben Johnson praises him and preseason showed poise. The author expects big-yardage potential (4,000+ yards) if Williams settles into the system. As a QB, he’s late-round value with upside if the offense clicks.
08/26 Medium Identified as a high-upside breakout target to shoot for in the mid rounds. Offers big ceiling but carries rookie risk — use if you want upside and already have other risky pieces or have late roster flexibility.
08/22 Medium (64%) Bullish due to landing in Ben Johnson's high-yardage offense, improved offensive line and added weapons (Luther Burden, Colston Loveland); higher rushing floor than credited — has upside but rookie QB risk remains.
08/22 Medium (100%) Listed among second-year players expected to take a step forward. High ceiling but still developing; draft as a mid/late QB target depending on roster construction and if you prioritize upside at QB.
08/22 High (75%) Undervalued at QB16/ADP 110 despite showing strong game action in Ben Johnson's offense; projects as a top-12 producer in Year 2 and is a steal in late QB2 range.
08/22 High Flagged as a strong late-round QB target alongside Drake Maye — high upside if drafted late; fits the approach of waiting on QB depth and targeting second-year/rookie upside or mobile playmakers.
08/19 High (100%) ADP ~124.8 — rookie QB placed in the group the analyst likes as value picks late in drafts; high upside but rookie risk.
08/19 High (100%) Article suggests Caleb Williams (ADP ~8th round) may deserve to be drafted higher given improved offense and upside — good mid-round upside pick.
08/19 Medium (100%) A potential late-round QB target to pair with Rome Odunze as a bargain stack; carries rookie QB risk given past rookie struggles with early projections, but offers upside if offense clicks under new coaching.
08/19 High (100%) Preseason debut showed control, efficiency (130 passer rating), a touchdown and good distribution to playmakers. With Ben Johnson as coach, the offense projects well — consider Williams a high-upside quarterback target in drafts, though rookie QB risk applies.
08/17 Low (100%) Model flags Williams as a 2025 draft bust: overvalued as a top-12 fantasy QB despite a disappointing rookie year (3,541 passing yards; ranked last among 14 QBs who started all 17 games). Coaching change (Ben Johnson) has created optimism, but the model sees better QB options inside the top-12—recommend avoiding drafting Williams early at QB ADP.
08/16 High High-upside QB target in SuperFlex startups — recommended to draft even if it costs a high 2nd-round pick (ADP around ~22) because of substantial long-term ceiling and trade leverage.
08/16 Low Rookie QB facing pressure from clearly shaky Bears offensive line and lingering mechanical/alignment issues; limited downfield passing in practice suggests lower fantasy upside. Better viewed as a QB2/bench stash rather than an early draft target.
08/15 Medium (100%) Sophomore QB entering year with new OC Ben Johnson, finished rookie year with 3,541 passing yards, 20 TD/6 INT and 489 rushing yards. Improved scheme, better offensive line and weapons increase ceiling — could be a high-upside fantasy QB (poor-man's Josh Allen if rushing TDs/ground production increases). However, rookie inconsistency and reliance on development make him a draft-to-upside play rather than a lock.
08/14 Medium (100%) Placed in the mid tiers (Tier 3/early tiers) — big rookie upside but draftable later (round ~9) rather than early; upside balanced by rookie risk.
08/14 High (100%) Boone prefers Caleb’s higher ceiling over Drake Maye when waiting until late rounds in 12-team leagues. Good late-round upside target at QB for dynasty/redraft rookie upside.
08/13 High (100%) Rushing upside and high-ceiling rookie QB; ideal as a QB2 in superflex or as an upside bench stash in redraft.
08/13 Medium Upside/polarizing pick — Bears offense could be top-5 or bottom-5 depending on how quickly he masters Ben Johnson’s scheme; draft as swing pick with awareness of volatility.
08/13 Low (65%) Projected to improve but not immediately; ADP ~ pick 102 (QB15) — analyst prefers other backup QBs at similar ADP and doesn't see Williams as a reliable week-to-week starter right away.
08/12 Low (100%) Dropped to Tier 6 and no longer recommended as a low-end starter; profile now fits a late-round flier to stash with hope for sophomore-year improvement rather than a draft-and-start option.
08/12 Medium (100%) ECR QB14 with real top-10 upside in Ben Johnson’s offense and better rushing than Jared Goff, plus improved weapons. But camp reports are inconsistent and he took a ton of sacks as a rookie, with protection still a concern. Drafting him as your QB1 is a big bet early in the year.
08/11 Must Have (74%) Williams has a revamped offensive line and new weapons, along with a proven play-caller in Ben Johnson. Projected to be the first Bears QB to exceed 4,000 passing yards, offering substantial upside.
08/09 Medium (42%) Caleb Williams had a challenging rookie season with a weak offensive line. However, improvements to the Bears' offensive line and coaching, along with new weapons, offer significant upside for development in 2025.
08/08 Medium (77%) While dropped behind Murray and Maye in the latest tier update, Williams is still considered a viable low-end starter with potential. He's worth considering if you're looking for a late-round quarterback with upside.
08/08 High Caleb Williams possesses many top-10 fantasy QB characteristics and is surrounded by a strong supporting cast, contributing to his high potential for efficiency and consistency in Year 2. This makes him a desirable pick, particularly in superflex leagues.
08/06 Medium (70%) Despite a disappointing prior season, Caleb Williams received a significant upgrade in offensive environment, suggesting potential value as a mid-tier QB with upside.
08/06 Medium Caleb Williams' value has decreased slightly, and he's now tied with Bo Nix. Concerns about training camp reviews and team situation suggest caution, but his ceiling is still considered high.
08/05 Must Have In a Kevin O'Connell system, Caleb Williams is poised for an enormous season due to the quality of the supporting offensive talent like Jefferson and Hawkinson.
08/05 Must Have (100%) Kept Caleb Williams in the 5th round, indicating a strong belief in his value relative to draft position. He's considered a must-have in keeper formats due to his high potential and performance expectations.
08/05 High Poised for a breakout season with improvements in offensive coaching, protection, and additional weapons. Benefiting from major offensive upgrades including new draft picks.
08/05 Medium High upside but potential overvaluation due to hype; take only if he falls below consensus.
08/05 Medium Williams has clear upside, especially with the new coaching change bringing in Ben Johnson from Detroit. His past performance, including 3,541 passing yards and 489 rushing yards, coupled with a dynamic offensive core, makes him a worthwhile late-round pick.
08/05 High (69%) Caleb Williams is learning a new system under Ben Johnson, and despite practice interceptions, he is projected to flirt with low-end QB1 fantasy numbers in 2025.
08/02 High (69%) Williams is learning a new system under Ben Johnson and despite interceptions in practice, is projected to flirt with low-end QB1 fantasy numbers in 2025.
08/01 Medium Caleb Williams scored a significant portion of his fantasy points in 'garbage time,' indicating potential volatility in fantasy performance when games are competitive.
08/01 High With new head coach Ben Johnson, improved offensive line, and added pass catchers, Williams has a great opportunity to significantly improve in his second year. He showed glimpses of potential with eight games of at least 30 rushing yards and multiple games with big passing stats. A viable late QB pick.
08/01 Must Have Williams is set for a breakout season with a 4,000-yard passing potential and critical rushing upside in an offense led by Ben Johnson.

Jerome Ford

Draft Priority High4

Draft him in the late rounds as a cheap bench gamble. He could start early if Judkins is delayed, but he has injury concerns and might lose work once Judkins or Sampson are back. Want 15 more details?

Moderate consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 47% in 15 sources updated 8 months ago

Late-round, high-upside RB target who projects as the Browns’ early-season lead if Quinshon Judkins is delayed; ADP ~134.9 (Round 11) gives cheap access to volume and RB3/flex upside. Draft around R10–R12 as a volume-chaser/bench flier — upside if he sustains lead role but downside from injury history, efficiency concerns, and committee risk once Judkins/Sampson factor in.

08/29 Medium Has proven RB2/3 production (RB24 in 2023) and a clear path to weekly RB3 value while Judkins remains unsigned and if he holds off Sampson; safe floor but limited upside versus bull risks.
08/29 Medium (100%) Projected lead back for Cleveland, but workload questions (never handled >250 touches previously) and efficiency concerns leave him vulnerable to a committee or burnout; potential starter but carries risk.
08/28 Medium (100%) Part of Cleveland committee with Sampson; has previous NFL starting experience and would be worth a bench flier if Sampson takes some role — advised to draft Ford in Round 11.
08/26 Medium Projected starter in the Browns while Demarco/Quincy Judkins situation is unsettled; workable starter but offense and line are concerns.
08/19 High (100%) ADP 134.9; longer absence of rookie Quinshon Judkins improves Ford’s stand-in value. Author plans to roster Ford on many teams at this cost as good depth/value pick.
08/19 Medium Author: 'Ford still has value early in the season as the likely starter in Cleveland until Judkins is ready to go.' Good early-season value pick.
08/15 Medium (100%) Remains the top pass-catching back in Cleveland and has familiarity with Stefanski's offense, making him a useful PPR bench stash. Likely to lose early-down/tough-yardage reps to Judkins but retains passing-down value. Pass protection is middling — limits some upside.
08/14 Medium If Judkins is unavailable early, Ford projects to split early-down work and be a fantasy-relevant piece, but he may not be a true every-down producer long-term.
08/13 Medium Team gave veterans day off, but camp reporting and preseason reps show Ford ahead of rookie Dylan Sampson; useful Week 1 play for ZeroRB strategies and a solid depth target if Browns’ backfield scenario evolves.
08/12 Medium (100%) Ranked No. 21 handcuff; top backup to rookie Quinshon Judkins. Proven production with contingency value, though committee risk exists.
08/12 Ignore Crowded, unstable Browns backfield; team spent draft capital on Quinshon Judkins and Dylan Sampson and hasn’t shown commitment to Ford. Limited historical snap share and recurring injuries.
08/12 High With Judkins sidelined by legal issues, Ford is set to handle a major share of the Browns’ backfield, giving him immediate volume-driven value at a likely palatable ADP.
08/12 High (100%) Favorite value in RB3+ range; cheap access to usable touches with upside.
08/10 High (31%) With potential legal issues sidelining competition and being held out with starters in preseason, Ford looks to take the lead RB role in Cleveland.
08/06 Medium Ford finds himself as the lead running back in training camp and is projected to start the season. However, his history of inconsistency and injury-risk, combined with a struggling Cleveland offense, suggests limited long-term reliability, making him a mid-round target for volume-chasers.

Cameron Dicker

Draft Priority High5

Pick him in the final rounds — he gets a lot of field-goal chances with the Chargers and is accurate, so he should score steady points. The main risk is if the team starts getting more touchdowns or the game flow changes. Want 3 more details?

Geno Smith

Draft Priority High3

Draft him in the late rounds as a cheap starter or backup. He moved to Las Vegas with better teammates and coaching so he could play like a starter, but he may have some early bumps while he adjusts and is a bit risky if you only carry one quarterback. Want 21 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 38% in 21 sources updated 8 months ago

High-priority late-draft target: Geno Smith projects as strong value several rounds later than comparable QBs (ADP around QB25) due to a move to Las Vegas, improved weapons and coaching, and expected touchdown-rate regression. Draft him as a late-round starter/backup with starter upside—ideal for superflex/two-QB and best-ball formats—while acknowledging early-schedule transition risks and some single-QB floor limitations.

08/29 High (100%) The model puts Geno Smith on par with C.J. Stroud but Smith's ADP is multiple rounds later. He reunited with Pete Carroll and added OC Chip Kelly; Las Vegas also added offensive weapons (Ashton Jeanty, Brock Bowers) — making Smith a high-upside, late-draft QB target.
08/28 Medium (100%) Projected as a steady QB2 with upside in Chip Kelly’s uptempo offense and familiar coach Pete Carroll; favorable schedule (12 indoor games, easy strength of schedule) makes him a reliable mid-round quarterback target.
08/27 Medium (100%) Clear upgrade over previous Raiders options and brings fantasy upside, but article notes he is less useful in single-QB redraft formats. Best value in two-QB/superflex and best-ball formats where QB scoring and stability matter more.
08/26 High (100%) SportsLine model projects Smith on par with top QBs despite being drafted later — reunited with Pete Carroll and now has OC Chip Kelly plus improved weapons (Jakobi Meyers, Brock Bowers, Ashton Jeanty, rookie Dont'e Thornton). Draft him several rounds later than comparable QBs for strong value and upside.
08/26 Low Offered as a late-round shot for QB3 depth; pick late for bye/injury help rather than expecting starter-level value.
08/15 Medium (100%) Currently the lowest-drafted QB with a clean bill of health and upgrades to offensive line and coordinator in Las Vegas; cheap upside as a late QB target (QB25 ADP).
08/15 High (100%) Indoor move to Allegiant Stadium and a dome-heavy schedule historically boost Geno's production (higher TD%, lower INT% indoors); new coaching fit with Pete Carroll/Chip Kelly and favorable tempo increase QB upside.
08/13 Medium (100%) Veteran option who can function as a backup/superflex QB2 in deeper formats but lacks high upside.
08/11 Medium (62%) Geno Smith is being drafted late and offers upside with his strong TD:INT ratio and performance in indoor starts. His potential in a Chip Kelly offense with talent around him increases his appeal.
08/11 High (69%) Geno Smith is highlighted as a sleeper candidate at the QB position for 2025, suggesting he has the potential to outperform expectations, especially given the typical draft cost associated with sleeper QBs.
08/09 Medium (100%) Geno Smith is considered a mid-tier QB2 but becomes a more appealing option in two-QB or super flex formats. His competent passing should benefit the Raiders' pass catchers, providing potential upside in specific league formats.
08/09 Medium (69%) Geno Smith is highlighted as a sleeper candidate for the quarterback position in 2025. He has shown potential in the past season and could be a starting quarterback worth considering if you're looking for a high-risk, high-reward option.
08/09 Medium Geno Smith is highlighted as a sleeper QB candidate by Justin Boone, suggesting he has the ability to outperform expectations and provide value based on draft position.
08/09 Medium Geno Smith is identified as a sleeper candidate at the quarterback position for the 2025 NFL season. This could mean potential value in later rounds if you're looking to target a high-upside QB as part of your draft strategy.
08/08 High Geno Smith could outperform his ADP due to a change of scenery with the Raiders, offering sleeper potential for the 2025 fantasy season.
08/06 High Smith's 3.5% touchdown rate in 2024 was well below his career averages. Moving to Las Vegas with better offensive weapons, he is poised for positive regression and could become a valuable superflex option.
08/06 High (69%) Geno Smith is a sleeper candidate, providing exciting upside at the QB position for your draft.
08/05 High (100%) Despite challenges in Seattle, Smith has shown consistency and is set for a resurgence with the Raiders. Reunited with a familiar coaching staff and improved supporting cast, plus a favorable schedule, he's poised for a strong season.
08/05 Medium (69%) Geno Smith is considered a sleeper candidate at the QB position for the 2025 season. This suggests that he could outperform his current ADP and provide solid value as a late-round pick or backup QB.
08/05 High (100%) Smith's past performance includes being a top-10 QB in fantasy points per game and first in completion percentage in 2022. Though his 2023 season was hampered by injuries to Seattle's offensive line, he rebounded in 2024 and is now in a favorable situation with the Raiders, reunited with coach Pete Carroll and supported by an offensive-minded Chip Kelly. With a favorable fantasy schedule and strong indoor play opportunities, Smith could easily outproduce his ADP as a top-20 quarterback.
08/05 Low (69%) While Smith could perform well in the future, his initial games with negative matchups and the challenges of transitioning to a new team present a high risk for early elimination in guillotine leagues.

Jonnu Smith

Draft Priority Low3

Draft him only in the late rounds as a long shot — don’t make him your starting tight end because his role behind Pat Freiermuth is unclear. He’s fine to stash on the bench in big leagues, but he might also end up doing very little. Want 10 more details?

Unclear consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 23% in 10 sources updated 8 months ago

Low priority — draft Jonnu Smith only as a late-round flyer rather than a core fantasy TE given strong consensus pointing to role uncertainty behind Pat Freiermuth in Pittsburgh and mixed preseason evaluations. Target in deep leagues or as a bench stash (rounds 12+) for upside from possible split-out usage and last year’s breakout, but expect a low floor and regression risk.

08/26 Ignore (100%) Despite returning from a knee tweak, Smith's fantasy value took a hit after being traded to Pittsburgh and he is expected to play behind incumbent Pat Friermuth. Avoid drafting him in single-TE formats; last year's career numbers likely regress.
08/22 Medium (100%) Cited as an example of a late-round/breakout TE who produced last year; useful as a sleeper target but relying on such breakouts is risky compared to drafting a top TE.
08/19 Low (77%) Tier 7 listing — lower draft priority, better as a depth/stash play in deeper formats.
08/19 High (100%) Smith finished as TE4 last season and now joins the Steelers with Aaron Rodgers, creating a clearer path to targets and late-round upside. The model notes him as an intriguing situation and a high-upside sleeper after an unexpected breakout.
08/12 Ignore (77%) Tagged as worst value at cost; unlikely to repeat last year’s volume/production in Pittsburgh. Prefer multiple TEs going after him.
08/05 Low (47%) Jonnu Smith is a late-round flyer due to his role in Arthur Smith’s offense, a potential hidden gem in the late stages.
08/05 Medium (60%) Joining the Steelers with an existing starting TE, Smith creates uncertainty in the roles with Freiermuth. However, being favored by the offensive coordinator and occupying a unique role as an after-catch specialist maintains their target share importance.
08/01 Low (72%) Smith is likely returning to his unspectacular form post-trade to the Steelers, where his potential output mirrors his past with the Falcons. His previous TE7 ranking has fallen to the mid-teens, making him less appealing.
08/01 Medium Jonnu Smith's performance was boosted by being split out wide frequently last season, but there's uncertainty if similar usage will continue in Pittsburgh under Arthur Smith.
08/01 Ignore Traded to a potentially run-heavy offense in Pittsburgh, competing for targets with Pat Freiermuth.

Isaac TeSlaa

Draft Priority High3

Draft him in the late rounds and stash him on your bench — he’s looked good in camp and could score in the red zone as Detroit’s third receiver. He’s a risky play though because the team has a lot of players who will catch the ball, so don’t count on him as a starter. Want 17 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 35% in 17 sources updated 8 months ago

High-priority late-round sleeper: Detroit’s early third-round investment and consistent preseason/camp production create immediate upside in a top-tier offense, meriting a 'high' draft priority. Target him as a late-round/bench-upside selection (realistic redraft value: late rounds — think R8–R12 in 12-team leagues — and earlier in best-ball formats where CBS notes early third-round draft capital), with high upside as a WR3/red-zone and contested-catch specialist but a low floor due to a crowded target hierarchy.

08/29 Medium (100%) Strong preseason (10 catches, 186 yards, scoring in final preseason games) and Tim Patrick trade opens path to WR3. However, stuck behind Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, Sam LaPorta and Jahmyr Gibbs in target hierarchy; historical WR3 target ceilings limit fantasy upside — likely a late-round/bench stash with upside if injuries occur.
08/28 High (100%) Impressed coaches in practice and preseason (146 yards, 3 TDs on 10 catches); team traded Tim Patrick, indicating confidence and potential immediate playing time.
08/27 High Detroit rookie (WR97, ~236) with a Puka Nacua-like profile — high-effort, contested-catch specialist who converted 9 of 10 preseason catches into first downs or TDs. Plays a physical, reliable role that often earns early targets in high-volume offenses; strong late-round priority for upside on a top offense.
08/27 Medium Detroit's third-round rookie has earned reps this summer and looks set as the WR3 after Tim Patrick trade; good late-round bench flier with upside if Amon-Ross St. Brown or Jameson Williams miss time.
08/26 Medium (100%) Rookie with size, athleticism and reliable hands; strong training camp/preseason showing. Limited college production (28 catches final season) but tape projects well; in a crowded Lions offense he’s a stash candidate who becomes fantasy-relevant with an injury to a primary receiver.
08/26 Medium Rookie drafted by hometown team, strong preseason (10/13 for 146 yards, 3 TDs) and could supplant Tim Patrick as WR3; best-ball friendly TD upside and late-round dart in red-zone role.
08/26 Low (100%) Third-round rookie praised by Lions GM for blocking and play style. In a Lions offense with many pass-catchers, he’s more likely to earn snaps through special contributions or injury opportunity than immediately producing fantasy volume. Draft as a deep bench/injury stash only.
08/22 Medium (100%) Big, athletic receiver who’s flashed in preseason and could be the Lions’ much-needed third receiving option. Fits into a high-powered offense that produces fantasy volume; worthwhile mid-to-late-round target for upside down the stretch.
08/19 High Best-ball upside pick — drafted with capital and already settling into the WR3 role. High variance/high ceiling: capable of multiple weeks where he cracks lineups and can step into a bigger role if St. Brown or Jameson misses time.
08/19 Medium (100%) Consistent contested catches and a TD in preseason; with Sam LaPorta banged up, TeSlaa is working into three-WR sets and should be on fantasy radars as a late-round target.
08/17 High (100%) Entering camp electric; size (6'4", 214) + 4.43 speed, strong contested-catch ability and route-running. Likely to carve a role as a big-play/red-zone specialist in Detroit’s explosive offense; strong upside late in drafts.
08/15 High (100%) Early third-round pick (Lions traded up, significant draft capital) with ideal size/speed (6'4", ~4.4 40) and immediate opportunity in one of the NFL's best offenses. Training-camp buzz and team investment suggest earlier ADP than market perception — strong upside as a rookie target with WR1/2 upside in PPR formats.
08/15 Low (100%) Third-round pick with size/speed and good hands; difficult to get immediate fantasy volume on a target-rich Lions offense but a late-round best-ball or stash candidate for later-season waiver adds.
08/13 Medium Rookie produced big plays in preseason and the Lions lack a clear No. 3 receiver; TeSlaa has a path to a part-time early role and could supplant Tim Patrick by late season — late-round upside pick.
08/11 High (62%) As Detroit's future X receiver, Isaac TeSlaa's impressive athleticism and role forecast significant potential, making him a top sleeper pick.
08/05 High (64%) TeSlaa's hype is building in camp and he showed explosive play with two catches for 46 yards in the Hall of Fame. He could potentially push Tim Patrick out of 3-wide sets, making him a sleeper pick.
08/05 Medium Isaac TeSlaa leads the Lions in receiving yards during his preseason debut, indicating potential value as a mid-round sleeper pick.

Jonathan Taylor

Draft Priority High3

Draft him in the early rounds — he should get a heavy workload and can pile up rushing yards. Still, grab his backup later because he’s missed many games recently and isn’t a big pass catcher, and experts disagree so I’m not super sure. Want 39 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 34% in 39 sources updated 8 months ago

High priority: Target Jonathan Taylor in the early second round (ADP ~18, RB8) as a volume-dependent bellcow with top-end rushing upside supported by Indianapolis’s run-blocking and projected heavy workload. Draft him as a high-priority pick in mid-rounds for standard formats, but protect the selection with a handcuff and recognize his limited PPR ceiling and significant injury history (16 missed games last three seasons) which reduce floor and increase variance.

08/29 High (100%) Colts' offensive line still features Quenton Nelson and is identified as making Jonathan Taylor the 'biggest beneficiary' — a sign Taylor should be prioritized in early rounds for RB production.
08/28 High Listed among stable high-end RBs projected to be available in the second round; solid RB1 upside and good value at that range.
08/27 High (100%) Mock-draft note: 'Jonathan Taylor goes early in Round 2' (10-team mock). Indicates he is being drafted as a high second-round value — target in early second in 10-team formats.
08/26 High (100%) Was top-5 among RBs in rushing attempts/yards and averaged 17.5 PPG (RB7) last season; remains focal point of Colts offense with heavy expected touch volume (22.9 touches/game previously). Durability is a concern but volume and offensive line run-blocking profile make him a strong second-round target (ADP: RB8).
08/23 High (100%) Listed as a solid consolation prize/second-round option in two-RB strategies — safe early investment.
08/23 Medium Listed among later-round sleepers but carries known injury/usage risk; valuable as a mid-to-late round dart with upside if he returns to form.
08/23 Must Have Identified as a clear 'targeting' pick — high upside if he can be more consistent; still a strong draft target given upside rebound potential.
08/23 Medium (100%) Appears in the preseason top-10/teaser list but carries injury and efficiency risk; worth drafting for bounce-back upside but not at peak ADP.
08/22 Medium Ranked a bit too high for current ADP because of chronic ankle injury history, limited pass-catching (1.3–1.9 catches/game last two years), and a murky Colts QB/offense that likely reduces TD upside vs. his 2021 peak.
08/22 Medium (100%) Reliable three-down back with a strong track record when healthy; injury history is a concern but still a valuable pick if available in early rounds.
08/22 High Called the 2022 RB1 and selected in round two mock as a value — in formats pushing RB value (multiple flexes) he's a strong mid-round target with upside if healthy and usage returns.
08/19 High (100%) Article says the fantasy world might be underestimating Jonathan Taylor — implies upside/discount versus ADP and suggests buying value.
08/19 High (100%) Daniel Jones runs less than Anthony Richardson and is less likely to vulture rushing TDs, which helps Jonathan Taylor’s touchdown and volume profile. The QB change likely upgrades the Colts’ offense and makes Taylor a stronger RB target than he was with Richardson under center.
08/16 High (54%) Featured as a solid Round 2 option — consistent feature role and finished top-10 RB in fantasy PPG despite QB issues.
08/15 High Note that the fantasy world 'might be underestimating Jonathan Taylor' — implies bounce-back or value opportunity in drafts.
08/15 High Solid RB2 value when available in the mid-rounds — taken in round 4 in mock as a value pick. Good to target as a bellcow upside when building RB depth in Super Flex.
08/15 Medium (100%) Listed around $27 in PPR values — has big-play and volume potential but lands in mid-tier pricing; good value in middle rounds, not a must-spend early.
08/15 High (100%) The line 'Could Taylor be a Round 2 league winner?' implies Taylor is being recommended as a high-upside Round 2 target who could win your league if drafted in that range.
08/13 Low Spooks the analyst as a Round 2 pick — limited pass-catching role (hurts PPR value), offensive-line changes (lost Ryan Kelly), injury history and uncertain QB/score environment lower upside relative to ADP.
08/13 Low Too risky at current Round 2 ADP — has missed 16 games in last three seasons and was inconsistent early in 2024 (majority of production came after Week 12). Prefer upside of younger backs (e.g., Bucky Irving) later in drafts.
08/11 Ignore Health concerns are real, he hasn't played a full 17 games since 2021. Efficiency dropped off with poor missed tackle scores and yards after contact. Lack of pass game utility with Anthony Richardson and Daniel Jones affects value.
08/11 Medium (100%) Taylor falls into a tier with volume-based backs with ceiling limitations, making him a potentially risky pick.
08/10 Medium Taylor has elite rushing stats but limited receiving numbers, paired with a history of missing games frequently. He should be a solid draft pick, but consider his injury history and lacking receiving role.
08/09 High Racked up 1431 total yards and 11 scores, indicating sustained involvement and fantasy relevance in Indy.
08/09 Medium (100%) Due to injury risks and high carry count, Taylor's rushing TD upside is limited. While still productive, the risk of injury makes him a less certain pick compared to past seasons.
08/07 Must Have Jonathan Taylor is another favorite for the NFL's leading rusher, showing his high draft value.
08/07 Ignore (100%) Jonathan Taylor's health and inconsistent play, alongside a weak Indianapolis offense, make him a risky RB1. His PPR reliance diminishes in current draft context.
08/07 Medium Ranked 18th, Jonathan Taylor presents moderate value with potential for solid contributions but with some risk due to recent performances and team dynamics.
08/06 High (70%) Fell to the third round but typically selected in the second round, represents good value if available here.
08/06 Must Have Has had at least 20 carries in eight of twelve games in the season, indicating consistent high usage.
08/06 Medium Concerns about consistent ceiling and unclear QB situation affect Taylor's draft stock.
08/06 High Taylor's touchdown rate declined in 2024, but an increase in end zone opportunities could see him return to the top-three RB territory. His potential uptick in carries inside the ten-yard line makes him a high-value draft pick.
08/05 High Strong early round pick for 0 wide receiver approach, consistently delivers RB value.
08/05 High (47%) Jonathan Taylor is valuable at ADP 18 due to the Colts' likely reliance on the run game. With 12 touchdowns and strong YPC, he's a reliable pick, especially beneficial when paired with other elite-adjacent RBs.
08/05 Ignore Despite being a top performer last season with over 1,500 total yards and 12 touchdowns, his extensive injury history and low receiving value diminish his draft stock. The model ranks him outside the top 15 at RB, indicating he's a bust to avoid.
08/05 High Jonathan Taylor is expected to have a heavy workload and be a focal point of the team's offense, making him a solid early-round pick.
08/05 High Selected as the No. 15 overall pick, Taylor offers strong value with his ability to produce both on the ground and in the passing game. His draft spot reflects strong confidence in his performance potential.
08/05 Low (100%) The 26-year-old is coming off another Fantasy RB1 season, finishing as RB7 overall with 1,567 total yards and 12 touchdowns, but there are major concerns such as an extensive injury history including 16 missed games over the last three seasons. Taylor also provides little value as a receiver, with fewer than 20 receptions in each of the last two years. The model ranks him outside the top 15 at his position.
08/05 Medium (79%) Could be picked up at the end of round two if still available, providing strong value with a potential RB fall.

Alexander Mattison

Draft Priority Ignore4

Don't draft him this season — reports say a neck injury will end his year and he won't play. Only consider keeping him if your league has a spot for injured players and you want him for next year, but don't expect him to help this season. Want 5 more details?

Zay Flowers

Draft Priority Medium3

Draft Zay Flowers in the late rounds, not the middle rounds. He can break off big plays and win you a big week, but he’s not a steady starter because Baltimore runs a lot and has other top pass catchers. Want 25 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 35% in 25 sources updated 8 months ago

Medium priority: Zay Flowers is a viable mid-round pick but is overvalued at many current ADPs (roughly picks ~59–66, mid-5th/early-6th); treat him as a WR3/depth piece rather than a dependable WR2 starter. Target him later (around Round 7 / WR25–35 tier) where his elite YAC and route-efficiency offer spike-week upside while limiting exposure to Baltimore’s run-heavy volume, competition from DeAndre Hopkins/Mark Andrews, and limited red-zone role.

08/29 Medium (100%) Electric playmaker who will produce big individual weeks, but in a run-heavy Ravens offense where Mark Andrews, DeAndre Hopkins, and Bateman dilute target share; sixth-round price caps ceiling.
08/28 Medium (100%) Talented but historically low target share in a run-heavy Ravens offense and limited red-zone usage behind DeAndre Hopkins and Mark Andrews; treat as a depth WR/late-round pick (around Round 7) rather than a Round 5 starter.
08/22 Medium Discounted ADP (WR26, 5th round) after poor second-half 2024, but still faces low team pass volume (Baltimore was second-fewest pass attempts), addition of DeAndre Hopkins and the presence of Rashod Bateman in red zone opportunities limit ceiling. Reasonable floor but limited upside relative to other targets.
08/22 Low (100%) Talented but limited target share in Baltimore's run-heavy offense; has never averaged >12.9 PPR ppg in two seasons — Round 5 ADP is too rich. Recommended: target around Round 7 if you must.
08/22 High (100%) Flowers finished as Baltimore’s de facto WR1 with huge target volume (112 targets), high target share and top marks in targets/route and yards/route — offering strong volume and efficiency upside at a modest ADP around the 5/6 turn. Good value relative to peers drafted nearby who lack his combination of target share and route efficiency.
08/19 Low (100%) Labeled 'Worst Value' at ADP ~66.2 — productive WR3-level player in Ravens offense, but now being drafted as a borderline starter which is overpaying given offense additions and volume distribution.
08/19 Medium (100%) Flowers is a high-floor, low-ceiling option — likely a 1,000-yard, ~5-TD type. ADP is sliding as drafters prefer higher-upside names later; fine as a stable WR3 but not a championship-winning swing pick.
08/19 High (100%) Eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards in 2024 (74-1,059-4) and improved efficiency (14.3 yards per reception). Despite playing in a run-heavy Ravens offense with target competition (Bateman, Andrews, Likely), Flowers has big-play ability and could see positive touchdown regression, making him a strong third-year target with high upside.
08/19 Low (100%) Dropped to Tier 8 and the analyst would only draft him as a No. 3 fantasy receiver — low priority in drafts unless drafting for deep upside.
08/19 Low (100%) Solid player but overpriced in the fifth round as WR25; presence of Mark Andrews (healthy) and addition of DeAndre Hopkins likely limit red-zone targets and TD upside.
08/14 Low (100%) Was WR36 in scoring and is being pushed up to WR25 without target upside; Ravens spread passing game limits volume, making him overrated at ADP (~59.8).
08/13 Low Hosts argue Flowers is overvalued vs. consensus — Ravens' low-volume passing, committee/TE usage and limited TD upside make him a poor pick inside top-24 range; downgrade relative to ADP.
08/13 Low (100%) Limited fantasy ceiling despite 1,000-yard season: small receiver with limited red-zone profile, Ravens are run-first with Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson, which caps target volume. Addition of DeAndre Hopkins increases target competition.
08/13 Low (100%) Author prefers McMillan and Hunter to Flowers and explicitly says he likes Flowers less at his ADP (~65.8) — downgrade relative to ADP.
08/12 Low (77%) Lower value at his ADP compared to Tetairoa McMillan and Travis Hunter, whom the analyst prefers at cost.
08/09 Low Zay Flowers remains explosive but struggles with consistency and route execution, leading to fluctuations in performance. Better as a later-round flyer than an early pick.
08/09 Medium Provides good mid-round value with the potential to outperform his ADP, making him an interesting target in drafts after the elite tiers are gone.
08/09 Ignore (31%) Zay Flowers has a WR24 ADP, yet has consistently finished around WR33-35 in previous seasons. His red zone target share suggests limited touchdown upside, making it hard to justify his current draft price where he's likely being bought at his ceiling.
08/06 Medium (100%) Zay Flowers provides balanced WR depth, proven as a WR1 in a Lamar Jackson-led offense, good value in Round 6.
08/05 High Zay Flowers is poised for significant volume and big play potential with Lamar Jackson, offering tremendous upside as a WR3 pick.
08/05 Medium Solid late round choice, finishing commendably in top 24 WRs; represents understated draft value.
08/05 Medium (100%) Zay Flowers had a career-best 116 targets last season, adding value as a bench player with potential upside early in the season.
08/05 Medium Better real-life talent than fantasy, but has potential due to a dynamic offense with Lamar Jackson.
08/05 Medium Flowers, a talented wideout, has been a boom-or-bust option limited by a run-heavy offense. However, with top 15 YAC and elite separation skills, he offers spike-week potential in a productive offense, particularly in full-PPR formats.
08/04 High Zay Flowers, despite being on a run-first team, offers consistent production as a number one target. His improvement in metrics like yards per route run over his first two seasons highlights both his reliability and potential upside.

Anthony Richardson

Draft Priority Medium3

Draft Richardson only in the late rounds — grab him after most quarterbacks are gone. He's risky (finger injury, job competition, shaky passing) but can run and have big games, so consider keeping him as a backup in leagues where you start two quarterbacks. Want 33 more details?

Mixed consensus from highly credible sources. Overall confidence 36% in 33 sources updated 8 months ago

Medium - Treat Richardson as a mid-to-late-round, high-upside dart rather than an early-round target; target as a late flier (roughly R12–R16 or after typical QB runs) in 1QB leagues and as a QB3/high-upside stash in Superflex/2QB formats. Recent preseason updates (pinky dislocation, benching risk, competition with Daniel Jones) and poor 2024 passing metrics cap his floor, but his rushing ceiling and scheme fit justify a late pick for upside; expect high variance.

08/26 Medium (100%) High rushing upside but significant passing risk. While his completion rate and passer efficiency have been poor, Richardson's rushing TDs and upside make him a late-round lottery pick if/when he starts. Drafters should treat him as a high-upside, high-risk option rather than a locked starter.
08/22 Low (100%) The preseason piece highlights Richardson being benched (called 'awful' for dynasty value). A benching signals reduced playing time and increased uncertainty about his role and development, which lowers his draft reliability and dynasty upside. Drafting him early is risky until starter status and usage are clarified.
08/22 Ignore (100%) Lost Week 1 starting job to Daniel Jones and has minimal near-term fantasy value; best to avoid drafting and pick him up on waivers if he regains the job midseason.
08/22 High (100%) Valuable roster piece in Superflex/2QB formats due to rushing upside; however, as a passer he lacks consistency and is not a reliable top-10 1QB option.
08/19 Low (100%) Richardson’s 47% completion rate and low passing volume in 2024 limited his ability to elevate Colts pass catchers. Losing the Week 1 job to Daniel Jones makes Richardson a risky draft target; keep him as a speculative late pick only for rushing upside or dynasty upside, not a reliable preseason draft QB.
08/19 Medium (100%) High-upside, higher-target-volume passer whose starts could boost Warren’s target totals; however, volatility and injury/consistency risk make Richardson a risk/reward QB pick. His presence increases Warren’s ceiling, but also increases variance.
08/16 Low (100%) Huge fantasy ceiling because of rushing ability, but major concerns entering 2025: extremely poor 2024 accuracy (worst qualifying completion% in a decade), recurring shoulder soreness (AC joint surgery history), and the Colts signed Daniel Jones who has a head start in the offseason. Rotoworld says don’t spend a pick in the first 12 rounds on Richardson; he’s more of a high-upside stash/bye-week streamer than an early draft target.
08/15 Medium Late-dart QB with massive upside; take as a late flier in Super Flex if you’ve missed earlier QBs. High variance but huge ceiling if he develops and stays healthy.
08/14 Medium (100%) Placed in the middle-to-late tiers — high upside due to rushing ability but carries injury/consistency risk; target as a mid/late pick if you want upside.
08/13 Low (100%) High injury risk and inconsistent production — intriguing upside but best as a deep stash rather than a draft priority.
08/13 Low Preseason performance and concerning play (injury/sack and flubbed mechanics) suggest he hasn’t secured the starting job; risky to draft as a reliable starter right now.
08/12 Low (100%) Consider as a late-round flier if healthy; contingent value tied to health and securing the starting job.
08/11 Medium Concerns about injury in preseason games, particularly focusing on his pinky finger, which could affect early season availability or performance.
08/11 Medium Anthony Richardson Sr.'s potential rebirth and dual-threat quarterback ability this season offers moderate draft value. The presence of playmakers around him and a solid offensive line increases his fantasy floor and ceiling.
08/09 Low (70%) Richardson dislocated his pinkie finger during a preseason game, indicating he needs better awareness to stay healthy.
08/09 Medium Richardson is a high-risk, high-reward pick in Super Flex formats due to his rushing upside. He is a strong option as a third QB with potential to finish as a QB1 if given a starting role.
08/09 Medium A high-upside QB3 target in Super Flex leagues, likely to be a QB1 in games he starts.
08/09 Medium (69%) Richardson dislocated his pinky finger, causing uncertainty about his starting position for Week 1. This could open opportunities for Daniel Jones to surpass him if Richardson misses further practice. Nevertheless, his potential remains high if he can play and improve from previous seasons.
08/08 High (100%) Richardson dislocated his pinky in preseason, but was able to throw on the sideline and is considered day-to-day. His talent and potential starter role make him a high draft priority as long as he remains healthy.
08/07 Low (62%) Uncertain starting role; potential ranking leap if starter.
08/07 Medium (100%) A Round 15 dual-threat QB pick. High risk/reward profile due to explosive potential if healthy, but could be dropped if not performing.
08/06 High Anthony Richardson is viewed as a potential Top 10 option, possibly to be considered over Brock Purdy, Bo Nix, Jared Goff, or Kyler Murray.
08/06 Medium (40%) Richardson's rushing upside and extensive preseason playing time make him a potential high-reward option, especially with starters playing alongside him.
08/05 High Anthony Richardson has the potential to be the Week 1 starter, making him a valuable late-round pick in superflex and one-quarterback leagues for his high upside and fantasy potential.
08/05 Medium (100%) Richardson possesses immense rushing upside that can translate into fantasy points, but his injury history makes him a riskier option. He could offer value if available in later rounds when risk is minimized.
08/05 Medium (100%) Despite an injury-filled previous season, Richardson is back to full health and receiving praise in training camp. His rushing ability, paired with strong skill-position support, suggests he has the upside to be a fantasy starter, especially if he can secure the starting job over Daniel Jones.
08/05 Medium Richardson is highlighted as a high-risk, high-reward option particularly suitable for one QB leagues. His potential to be a differentiator is more valuable than in super-flex leagues where consistent starters are needed. However, if he performs well, his value could surge.
08/05 Medium Anthony Richardson has shown flashes of elite playmaking ability and has potential upside if he wins the starting job in Shane Steichen's system. His passing numbers in 2024 were poor, leading to a competition with Daniel Jones, but either could add value as a runner.
08/05 Medium Richardson is projected to be the Colts QB1, which increases his fantasy value as a starting quarterback. However, it's worth noting that he's a rookie, which could impact consistency and performance.
08/05 Medium Richardson could be amazing if he wins the starting job for the Colts, offering rushing upside. He's a potential drop if he struggles or loses the job, but a worthwhile risk at this point in the draft.
08/05 High Anthony Richardson is a risk-taker and has shown promise in rushing and passing during his limited starts. He's likened to Malik Willis due to his raw potential but with even better athletic traits. Shane Steichen, known for developing QBs like Justin Herbert, is his coach.
08/01 Low (100%) Fighting for starter role with Daniel Jones, uncertainty makes him a risky pick.
08/01 Medium (43%) Anthony Richardson is reportedly healthy after a shoulder setback and is expected to participate fully in training camp. Although there is an open competition for the QB1 position, Richardson's health improvements could make him an intriguing mid-round pickup with potential upside if he can improve his consistency and completion percentage.